Another paper: Forests are increasingly struggling to recover from wildfires

This is from an article in The Conversation yesterday, March 6: “The West’s iconic forests are increasingly struggling to recover from wildfires – altering how fires burn could boost their chances.”

Wildfires and severe drought are killing trees at an alarming rate across the West, and forests are struggling to recover as the planet warms. However, new research shows there are ways to improve forests’ chances of recovery – by altering how wildfires burn.

In a new study, we teamed up with over 50 other fire ecologists to examine how forests have recovered – or haven’t – in over 10,000 locations after 334 wildfires.

Together, these sites offer an unprecedented look at how forests respond to wildfires and global warming.

Our results are sobering. We found that conifer tree seedlings, such as Douglas-fir and ponderosa pine, are increasingly stressed by high temperatures and dry conditions in sites recovering from wildfires. In some sites, our team didn’t find any seedlings at all. That’s worrying, because whether forests recover after a wildfire depends in large part on whether new seedlings can establish themselves and grow.

However, our team also found that if wildfires burn less intensely, forests will have a better shot at regrowing. Our study, published March 6, 2023, highlights how proactive efforts that modify how wildfires burn can help buffer seedlings from some of the biggest stressors of global warming.

The PNAS paper is open-access:

“Reduced fire severity offers near-term buffer to climate-driven declines in conifer resilience across the western United States”

Native Alaskans and Biden Admin vs. Some ENGOs: More on the Izembek Road Case

This photo from the Rewilding Institute’s website is attributed to George Wuerthner who is a member of their Leadership Council

It’s interesting to watch how different ENGO’s look at different projects where Indigenous people have an interest one way or another. If you folow these issues, you have to be very careful as often the ENGO’s don’t mention in their press releases when they disagree with Native communities, but do mention them when their interests align. Of course, I don’t blame the ENGO’s, they are just marketing their points of view as best they can. It’s pretty much the reporters who have to ask the questions, and seek out information on Indigenous views.

Defenders of Wildlife is widely considered to be an ENGO with the ear of the current Administration (and some previous ones).

Here’s a piece from their website with nary a mention of who wants the road and why, only that the gravel road would be “commercial.”

The 9th Circuit Court of Appeals will revisit a decision that upheld a land exchange that would make way for a road that would run through Izembek National Wildlife Refuge in Alaska. On November 10, the court threw out the Trump-era decision and ordered a rehearing of the case.

Upon hearing the news, Defenders of Wildlife’s President and CEO Jamie Rappaport Clark released the following statement:

“We are grateful the Ninth Circuit has chosen to rehear this case and reconsider a deeply flawed decision. Defenders of Wildlife is optimistic that the court will ultimately reject this illegal land exchange and protect the irreplaceable wilderness and wildlife habitat of Izembek National Wildlife Refuge.”

Before the case went to the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals, two Alaska District Court decisions rejected such an exchange. The Biden administration defended the Trump era land swap on appeal. A three judge Ninth Circuit panel ruled 2 to 1 in March that the Interior Secretary could use the land exchange provision of ANILCA to gut a National Wildlife Refuge and congressionally designated Wilderness Area without congressional approval. The panel also found that ANILCA’s purposes include providing economic benefits to the State and corporations within it, contrary to the law’s plain language explaining that it is intended to protect conservation and subsistence in Alaska.

That court’s decision upheld a land swap designed to make way for a commercial gravel road in Izembek National Wildlife Refuge. Law firm Trustees for Alaska filed a petition for rehearing en banc in April 2022 asking the entire Ninth Circuit Court to review the split court decision that threatens Izembek lands, waters and animals, and has dangerous and expansive implications for all public lands in Alaska.

Trustees for Alaska represents nine groups in the lawsuit including Defenders of Wildlife. They also represent Friends of Alaska National Wildlife Refuges, Alaska Wilderness League, the Center for Biological Diversity, Defenders of Wildlife, National Audubon Society, the National Wildlife Refuge Association, Sierra Club, The Wilderness Society, and Wilderness Watch.

It’s interesting that many of these groups, known to be close with the Biden Admin, split with them on this issue.
The Rewilding Institute was more upfront about who wanted the road and why, and why Rewilding thinks they are wrong..

The Biden Administration, with the apparent support of Secretary of Interior Deb Haaland, has sided with Alaskan Natives and the previous Trump Administration to approve the construction of a road through the designated wilderness of Alaska’s Izembek National Wildlife Refuge….

Other Alaskan native groups support the land exchange, likely because they believe they could use the precedent to further their own economic interests.

I had never heard this one before, it’s a bit of an argument that the Native Alaskans are not negotiating in good faith..

The Aleut people living in the village of King Cove claim they need the road for medical emergencies so that injured people can readily access an all-weather runway in nearby Cold Bay, a former military base.

Currently, access to Cold Bay’s runway is by boat or from a smaller airstrip in King Cove. But in stormy weather, travel by any means, including by road, is often dangerous and difficult. This situation is by no means unique to King Cove. Many Alaskan villages are far from hospitals and infrastructure that many Americans take for granted.

However, many wilderness advocates believe the real reason for the road is to carry fish captured by the commercial fishing fleet in King Cove to planes in Cold Bay for rapid shipment to markets.

I appreciate (although don’t agree with) the consistency of this group.. they don’t seem to care whether people are Indigenous or not, we are all equally subordinate to their vision of economic development for communities that want it, or “access to the same infrastructure that many Americans” have as a bad thing.

Mostly we tend to think of this as a tendency of international ENGOs (we developed and used resources, but we think you shouldn’t, for environmental reasons) but apparently this is not an entirely international phenomenon.

Public Lands Litigation – through February, 2023

State court decision in McGibney v. Missouri Department of Natural Resources (Missouri Court of Appeals)

The Forest Service holds a conservation easement near the Mark Twain National Forest along the Eleven Point River where it has been designated a Scenic River under the National Wild and Scenic Rivers Act.  In a lawsuit by private owners of other property also subject to the easement, the state appeals court reversed a district court opinion, and held that the purchase of the eased property by the DNR was consistent with DNR’s statutory authority to acquire new lands for park purposes, even without public access to the 625 acres subject to the easement.  That is because the public could enjoy views of the river and the eased land from other areas of the park.  (The Forest Service was not a party to this case, but there’s “more United States Forest Service land than any county in the state of Missouri;” additional background on the controversy may be found here.)

New lawsuit:  Wilson v. Booz Allen Hamilton, Inc. (E.D. Va.)

On February 11, a proposed class-action lawsuit was filed in the U.S. District Court for Eastern Virginia, and it asks the court to order Booz Allen Hamilton, Inc., which operates the Recreation.gov site providing access to federal lands, to refund to consumers processing, lottery, and cancellation fees.  The main issue is whether these “junk” fees are allowed under the Federal Lands Recreation Enhancement Act (FLREA).

Stay granted in The Fallon Paiute-Shoshone Tribe v. U. S. Department of the Interior (D. Nev.)

On February 14, the district court agreed with the BLM and granted a stay in the litigation because the results of reinitiating ESA consultation on a modified proposal for a geothermal development, reducing its size from 60 MW to 12 MW, would be “essential to Plaintiffs’ claims” related to the newly listed Dixie Valley toad.  (We’ve been following this case, most recently here.)

State court decision

On February 16, the Colorado Court of Appeals upheld a 2019 notice of violation issued by Garfield County against the operator of a gravel pit on BLM land just above the city of Glenwood Springs.  The question was whether the mine operations were under state or county jurisdiction.  The BLM is separately considering allowing the mine to expand.

  • Thacker Pass lithium mine

New lawsuit

On February 16, a week after the federal district court largely upheld BLM’s decision to permit Lithium America’s Thacker Pass lithium mine in Nevada, three Native American tribes filed a new lawsuit. The tribes are alleging BLM withheld information from the Nevada State Historic Office, “and lied about the extent of tribal consultation in order to secure legally required concurrence about historic properties” at Thacker Pass.  Earlier in Februrary, The Reno Sparks Indian Colony and Summit Lake Paiute Tribe submitted an application to list both the 1865 massacre site and the whole of Thacker Pass, which tribes are calling the “Thacker Pass Traditional Cultural District,” under the National Register of Historic Places.

Court decision

On March 1, the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals refused to block construction of the mine while it considers an appeal of the district court decision, after the district court also refused to grant an injunction pending appeal.  (This is a continuation of the ongoing lawsuit, discussed here; not the new lawsuit described above.)

A trailer for a documentary on this controversy may be viewed here. (The full documentary may also be available from this site, but I didn’t request it.)

New lawsuit: Buffalo River Watershed Alliance v. U. S. Forest Service (W.D. Ark.)

On February 21, filed a complaint alleging that the Ozark-St. Francis National Forest violated NEPA in making its decision on the Roberts Gap Project, a prescribed burn, logging, and chemical herbicide treatment within the Buffalo River watershed.  Eighty-six percent of the project area allegedly contains trees 70 years old or more, and habitat for the endangered Indiana bat.  (The summary contains a link to the complaint.)

New lawsuit/decision:  New Mexico Cattle Growers’ Association v. U. S. Forest Service (D. N.M)

On February 21, this association, the Humane Farming Association, the Spur Lake Cattle Company and two individuals sued the Forest Service and Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service over their plans to aerially shoot an estimated 150 feral cattle in the Gila Wilderness Area on the Gila National Forest.  They alleged failure to give adequate notice, lack of statutory authority, improper procedures for trespassing cattle and failure to prepare an EA or EIS under NEPA.  On the next day, the district court denied a request for a temporary restraining order (the link above is to that opinion).  More background is here.

Court decision in Center for Biological Diversity v. Strommen (D. Minn)

On February 21, the district court approved a consent decree between the parties to enforce a prior court decision by changing Canada lynx trapping regulations, including prohibiting snares, for the Lynx Management Zone in northeastern Minnesota (including the Superior National Forest).  The agreement was opposed by intervenor trapper associations.  Plaintiff’s news release is here.

New lawsuit:  Center for Biological Diversity v. Office of Management and Budget (D. D.C.)

On February 21, the Center sued OMB and the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs under the Freedom of Information Act to obtain agency records regarding compliance with the Endangered Species Act’s legal obligation in §7(a)(1) that all federal agencies “shall utilize their authorities” to carry out “programs for the conservation of endangered species and threatened species.”  This relates to their roles in delaying ESA protections for species (which the Center has frequently litigated), and in this case red knots (a coastal shorebird).  (The news release includes a link to the complaint.)

Notice of intent to sue

On February 22, the Center for Biological Diversity notified the Forest Service that it would be sued for violating the same §7(a)(1) of the Endangered Species Act regarding gray wolves, which are protected by the ESA in Colorado, but not in Wyoming.  They are asking the Medicine Bow-Routt National Forest to ban wolf hunting and trapping on the Forest in both states.  This is in response to pioneering wolves in Colorado apparently being shot by Wyoming hunters.

An editorial mocked an investigation by BLM into movement of rocks on BLM desert land to form a yin and yang sign sitting at one vertex of a 50 foot triangle, with a second vertex containing a smiling face with a unique hat.

Kirsten Cannon, the spokesperson for BLM’s Southern Nevada District, huffed, “Permits are issued for land art such as this,” voicing concern about protecting the environment. She added, “Land art can increase visitation to an area, so proper site location and a permit are important.”

 

Tribal “Stewardship” But Not Agreement? The Thacker Pass Lithium Case

I think we’re all for Tribal consultation and co-stewardship (depending on exactly what that means). Here’s a quote from Interior Department Guidance to Strengthen Tribal Co-Stewardship of Public Lands and Waters:

said Secretary Deb Haaland. “By acknowledging and empowering Tribes as partners in co-stewardship of our country’s lands and waters, every American will benefit from strengthened management of our federal land and resources.”

Of course, federal authorities stay the same, that is, to consult and not go with what Tribes want. It seems to be a focus on the process (consultation) rather than the product (decisions that Tribes agree with). This sounds like a bit of an echo of ordinary public involvement. We can have a great process and not decide the way any particular group wants. But the term “co-management” to me implies more than “we listen to your opinion more carefully than other groups”. But if the Admin can still overrule Tribes, are they any more “empowered” than before an enhanced consultation process?

There’s also the scale thing. For example, when DOI had their public session on oil and gas regulations, that I covered here, Tribes and Native Alaskans said they were for “all of the above” and yet this did not seem to transfer directly to DOI policy. Perhaps the scale is the problem, and Tribes should be consulted on the overall decarbonization- climate- energy policy in its entirety. Because the solar-wind-minerals-uranium under all scenarios would occur on federal lands. To the extent that it does, maybe the USG should back up and consult on the broader-scale policy- both energy and climate. Perhaps have an elected Tribal representative in all White House climate discussions?

Anyway, here’s a story from “This is Reno” on Tribes suing the BLM:

Three Native American tribes filed this week a new lawsuit against the Bureau of Land Management over Lithium Americas planned Thacker Pass lithium mine.

The lawsuit comes after federal Judge Miranda Du mostly ruled against the plaintiffs seeking to stop the project near the Nevada-Oregon border. It was filed Thursday by the Reno-Sparks Indian Colony, Burns Paiute Tribe and Summit Lake Paiute Tribe in Federal District Court.

The tribes are alleging BLM withheld information from the state “and lied about the extent of tribal consultation in order to secure legally required concurrence about historic properties” at Thacker Pass. They are also alleging BLM lied and misled the tribes about other aspects of the mining project.

“The new lawsuit is also strengthened by the addition of the Summit Lake Paiute Tribe, one of the Tribes that the BLM claims to have consulted with prior to issuing the [record of decision],” they said in a press statement. “Summit Lake and both other tribes the BLM claims to have consulted (the Winnemucca Indian Colony and Fort McDermitt Paiute-Shoshone Tribe) have disputed BLM’s assertion that any consultation took place.”

The Winnemucca Indian Colony, they said, was unable to intervene in the case for not filing soon enough.

“When the decision was made public on the previous lawsuit last week, we said we would continue to advocate for our sacred site PeeHee Mu’Huh,” said Arlan Melendez, chair of the Reno-Sparks Indian Colony. “It is also the very same place where our people were massacred (never laid to rest properly) by the U.S. Calvary. It’s a place where all Paiute and Shoshone people continue to pray, gather medicines and food, honor our non-human relatives, honor our water, honor our way of life, honor our ancestors.

“The Thacker Pass permitting process was not done correctly. BLM contends they have discretion to decide who to notify or consult with,” he added. “They only contacted 3 out of the 22 tribes who had significant ties to Thacker Pass.”

There’s also a good comprehensive story on E&E News that is open to everyone. They took a political slant to it..

“Democrats and Republicans are both pro-development in this state and always have been,” Lokken said.

Some Democrats are more likely to be concerned about the environmental impact of mining and about ensuring that the state gets tax revenue from the industry, added Lokken, but development has ultimately won out.

“The party decided a long ago that this kind of development is fine,” he said.

The “Climate in Forest Plans” Roundup- What Are Your Observations and Why?

I thought this was funny, it’s from Guido Núñez-Mujica of The Breakthrough Institute and used with his permission. No, I don’t addressing climate mitigation in forest plans is like this, except we could substitute emissions from recreation, wildfire, grazing, timber and so on..not to speak of what we used to call “sustainable operations” or the workings of the agency itself.

From Guido Núñez-Mujica here https://twitter.com/OSGuido/status/1628833580649684992/photo/1

Now it’s time to share your examples of climate in forest plans.. I posted on some possible ways to look at “how well” forest plans deal with climate change last week. As I said before, one of my contacts had been asked “what forest plans do you consider to have handled climate change best”. So this thread is an opportunity for anyone to weigh in on the forest plans you have worked with, and what you think.

How does addressing climate change make a difference in desired conditions (maybe resilience, but I think many folks are managing for that anyway via projects), standards and guidelines, land allocation and other plan-level decisions?

That’s precisely what we should be able to see in some of the new forest plans. So please let us know what you think!
*************

In a research paper to be discussed later this week, the authors state:

Forest planning is a relatively obscure and byzantine policy process for most ordinary citizens. In contrast, it is a high priority to interest groups because of the ability to impact long-term outcomes on the national forests.

I will be interesting to see who has actually read forest plans (and EIS’s) among us. For one thing, they are so very complex (obscure and byzantine, as the authors said). For another thing, an individual’s opinion probably does not matter much, so in the weighting of spending of time, reading plans may not rank highly. There seem to be no powerful interest groups representing “general interest” or “recreation tolerance” or even “resilient ecosystems”- the latter concept seems to get broken down into the same old “manage vegetation or not”; even when there isn’t a timber industry to speak of. So I think it will be interesting to see who among us has taken the time to read what’s in them and why.

Finally, for those who are following individual forest plans, it would also be interesting to track whether and how climate change comes up in forest plan-related litigation. And whether “integrity” and “resilience” are ever in tension- seems like they might be.

The Shooter


Forest Service dumps are for refuse disposal, not target shooting.

 Some of the challenges of my Toiyabe National Forest fire prevention guard job had nothing at all to do with wildfire prevention. Some had to do with the fact I was often the only public servant around to handle an emergency—with that sometimes gray area between assigned duty and moral obligation on what might be termed a “now or never” basis.

Once, on my way to the busy Twin Lakes recreation area, I detoured to check the Forest Service dump I’d burned a few days before. Suddenly, I heard gunshots, just as the Lone Ranger and Tonto once did at the beginning of almost every episode. What I saw as I arrived at the dump scared me.

A big, beefy, fortyish man, standing next to a late model Cadillac sedan, was firing a high-powered rifle—not at me, but at a row of cans and bottles on an earthen berm at the opposite end of the dump. He didn’t, I quickly decided, know what lay beyond the low ridge toward which he was firing and over which his bullets could fly. And he apparently didn’t know that Mono County didn’t allow shooting in the area. Somebody had to tell him before it might be too late.

“Good Morning, sir,” I managed as I climbed out of the cab of my patrol rig.

He nodded and smiled.

“What are you shooting?” followed, though his targets were obvious.

“Just plinkin’ at cans and bottles.”

“Sir, do you know what’s over that hill about a mile?” I asked, pointing toward the southeast—the same direction he’d been shooting.

“Just sagebrush, I guess. That’s all I can see from here.”

“No, sir. The Hunewill Guest Ranch is over there. I’d guess bullets from that rifle could reach there from here.”

“Too many dudes around anyway, right?” he smirked, making light of my concern.

Deciding another appeal to common sense wouldn’t hack it, I invoked the law. There was, I told him, a Mono County ordinance that prohibited shooting within the Twin Lakes basin.

“Oh, yeah? Well, we wouldn’t want to do anything illegal, would we? Guess we’ll just go shoot somewhere else.”

And with that he got into his Cadillac and drove away. I was relieved to see him gone. A few minutes later, after my heart stopped pounding, I radioed a report of the incident to the ranger station. I never saw him again, never heard anything about him.

But, most important, nobody had been hurt.

Adapted from the 2018 third edition of Toiyabe Patrol, the writer’s memoir of five U.S. Forest Service summers on the Toiyabe National Forest in the 1960s.

 

FS Overhead on GAOA Projects Less Than Park Service: Should FS Get More of the Pie?

Sadly, this E&E news article appears to not be available even to those with a Greenwire subscription. Below is from this E&E News story. It was interesting that it requires some kind of higher level of subscription ($) than some have to access it.

Westerman’s ascension all but guarantees that it will be a tough year for the park service on Capitol Hill. He said NPS and other agencies have had it far too easy under Democratic control during the last two years and that it’s time for the committee to step up its oversight.

When Congress first passed the landmark Great American Outdoors Act in 2020, Westerman called it “a Band-Aid on a bullet wound,” saying he backed it as a step in the right direction but questioned whether it would go far enough. He and other Republicans now say the evidence is now clear: While the law promised to give NPS up to $6.5 billion over a five-year period, the agency’s backlog has only
ballooned, going from roughly $12 billion in 2018 to a record high of more than $22 billion at the end of 2022.

….

In a May letter to Haaland, they first complained that the agency had “alarmingly” proposed spending 30 percent of its money under the Great American Outdoors Act this year to pay for overhead costs rather than specific projects. “I promise you that’s not what I had in mind when we set up the Great American Outdoors Act to fix infrastructure in our federal lands,” Westerman said in the interview.

In a July letter, Westerman and other Republicans said that NPS had prioritized “relatively obscure park units in urban areas” over its “crown jewels” in rural areas. As proof, they said some top parks were omitted from the fiscal 2023 project list even though they had large maintenance backlogs, including Yosemite, Zion, Grand Teton, and Rocky Mountain national parks.

They have also questioned why NPS decided to spend $161 million to rehabilitate the George Washington Memorial Highway in suburban Washington, and nearly $166 million on two park sites in the San Francisco congressional district represented by former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D), saying the money could have been better spent elsewhere.

The Republicans asked the agency for “a full accounting of all funds,” along with all documents and communications — including emails — that show how projects have been prioritized.
NPS declined to comment on the committee’s oversight plans.

I could hazard a guess as to why those sites were picked-the term “pork” comes to mind. Fortunately the Daily Caller reported on this from last May and it is available via the House Natural Resources website:

In the letter, Westerman and the other Republicans noted that the administration’s budget suggested that funds appropriated under Great American Outdoors Act’s (GAOA) Legacy Restoration Fund (LRF) were being given to “overhead costs” instead of specific projects as the bill intended when it was passed in 2020. The program awards several Interior Department (DOI) and Agriculture Department (USDA) subagencies a total of $1.9 billion per year between 2021-2025 for park restoration projects.

“Despite the intention of GAOA to address real deferred maintenance needs, portions of funds are dedicated to administrative costs and contingency funds,” the Republicans wrote to Haaland and Vilsack. “Alarmingly, more than 30 percent of FY 2023 [National Park Service (NPS)] Legacy Restoration Funds are dedicated to overhead costs, rather than obligated to specific projects.

They added that between 13-17% of the LRF funds allocated to the Fish and Wildlife Service, Bureau of Land Management and Forest Service were also earmarked for overhead costs.

Looking at the bill text, it’s not clear to me that they explicitly stated “no overhead”. Conceivably agencies could charge, say 60% or so overhead, like research universities. It doesn’t seem fair that the Park Service charges so much more than the other agencies.. which didn’t seem to raise any eyebrows. Maybe Congress should put in a cap, now that they know how much, say the FS charges. Or as I suggested, a greater percentage of the total funding be allocated to the agencies with lower overheads.

Also of interest in the bill is the requirement that:

Submission of Annual List of Projects to Congress.–Until the date on which all of the amounts in the Fund are expended, the President shall annually submit to Congress, together with the annual budget of the United States, a list of projects to be funded from the Fund that includes a detailed description of each project, including the estimated expenditures from the Fund for the project for the applicable fiscal year.

So conceivably, Congress has a chance to weigh in on each agency’s list. Anyone with more info on how this works, please add in comments.

The First Female Forest Service Air Boss

Thanks to Mike Archer for this link in today’s Wildfire News of the Day email (subscribe here). It’s a great Women’s History Month story….

(5) The next article provides a thumbnail sketch of a woman who became the first female pilot with U.S. Forest Service, flying lead planes battling wildfires across the West while also raising a family, one of whom became a commercial airline pilot.

Mary Barr Fought Expectations as First Female Forest Service Air Boss https://adventure-journal.com/blogs/news/mary-barr-fought-fires-and-expectations-as-first-woman-forest-service-air-boss

“Firmageddon” in Oregon

I posted a part of this column in another thread. Here’s the entire article, with links. It’s from the February 2023 edition of The Mountain Times, a community newspaper in my area. I write a monthly column, The Woodsman.

FWIW, California is in the midst of a “pinemaggedon.”

“Firmageddon” and Oregon Forest Health

By Steve Wilent

For newspaper, magazine, or blog editors trying to come up with attention-grabbing headlines (as all editors do) for a story about forest health (boring!), using the word “Firmageddon” would be a slam dunk. The Oregonian used the term in a November 25, 2022, article, “Record number of firs dying in Oregon, Washington in what experts call ‘Firmageddon.’” Other newspapers far and wide ran similar headlines, including Esquire, Wired, and the US edition of the British newspaper, The Guardian.

Firmageddon, a term based on “armageddon,” was coined by researchers who had compiled data cleaned from aerial surveys of forest conditions in Oregon and Washington. According to The Oregonian, the researchers found that “Fir trees in Oregon and Washington died in record-breaking numbers in 2022,” and it was “the largest die-off ever recorded for fir trees in the two states.”

Note that the die-off of firs does not include Douglas-fir, the most common tree in our area, but so-called “true fir” species grand fir and noble fir, which are common in the northern Cascades, as well as white fir, Shasta fir, and red fir, which are common in southern Oregon. Douglas-fir is not a true fir.

In assessing the results of aerial surveys covering about 25 million acres in Oregon, the researchers found that “The fir mortality is widespread and quite severe in some locations. Fir mortality has been detected across Oregon and Washington, but the elevated and more severe fir mortality was observed across the Ochoco, Malheur, Fremont, and Winema National Forests from Central Oregon to the California border. More than 1.2 million acres have been impacted with fir mortality across the Pacific Northwest, with ~1.1 million of those acres all being recorded in Oregon. Nearly double the acres impacted compared to all the previous year’s data on fir mortality in Oregon.”

The results of the surveys are summarized in “Forest Health Highlights in Oregon – 2021,” from the Oregon Department of Forestry and the US Forest Service (download it at tinyurl.com/3cmna6hc). The US Forest offers an informative “story map” that looks at data from Oregon and Washington (tinyurl.com/ywy76erh).

Trees die in our forests every year due to a variety of natural causes, such as wildfire, insect attacks, and diseases. In recent years, many trees have been weakened by drought stress, which reduces their ability to defend themselves against insects and diseases. Heat stress, such as during the unusual “heat dome” we all suffered through in 2021, also weakens trees. The graph accompanying this article shows that tree deaths from abiotic factors—drought and heat stress (shown in blue)—were far greater in 2021 than in previous years. This is not surprising, as much of Oregon has seen drought conditions in recent years, “most heavily across Oregon from the center of Oregon around the Ochoco Mountains to the California border,” according to the report.

To me, as a forester, the high mortality in true firs isn’t surprising. In many areas, especially in eastern and southwestern Oregon, true firs have “invaded” forests that had previously been dominated by large, old ponderosa pines and Douglas-firs. In the past, relatively frequent, low-intensity fires killed most of the young true firs before they could become big enough to compete with the larger, older trees. Such fires were caused by lightning or were intentionally lit by Native Americans for centuries before European settlers moved in. Today, the invading true firs have become large enough to compete with larger trees for water and nutrients, and most or all trees in these overcrowded forests are stressed, leaving them more susceptible to insects, diseases, drought, heat waves, and especially wildfire.

The US Forest Service, the Oregon Department of Forestry, private landowners, and other forest managers have worked for many years to reintroduce low-intensity fire—prescribed fire that is beneficial in ways similar to the fires lit by Native Americans. With so many young trees and dead/down woody debris in these forests, wildfires that otherwise would have been low intensity, leaving the largest trees unscathed, often become high-intensity fires that kill many or all of the large trees. Using prescribed fire in these areas can help clear out the invading firs, but only if the amount of available fuel is reduced beforehand through mechanical or hand thinning.

Oregon Forest Facts

The “Forest Health Highlights” report makes for interesting reading for foresters and others who are concerned about die-offs in our forests. For a more general look at forests, see “Oregon Forest Facts, 2023-24 Edition,” from the Oregon Forest Resources Institute, or OFRI (a free download at tinyurl.com/ya9w6hwu. Teachers, take note: OFRI will mail you hard copies at co cost).

This 20-page booklet is packed with information. For example:

  • Nearly half of Oregon is forestland. Oregon forests vary by species composition and ownership. There are more than 30 distinct forest types, but Douglas-fir dominates in western Oregon, ponderosa pine in eastern Oregon, and mixed conifers in southwest Oregon. In terms of ownership, the federal government manages 61% of Oregon forests; private owners manage 34%; state and county governments manage 4%; and Native American tribes manage 2%.
  • Timber harvest levels from public and private forestlands over the past 20 years have remained relatively stable, although the Great Recession (2007-09) and the collapse of the housing market brought a severe contraction in the U.S. demand for lumber. Consequently, Oregon’s timber harvest reached a modern-era low in 2009, the smallest harvest since the Great Depression in 1934. By 2013, the harvest had rebounded to roughly pre-recession levels.
  • Oregon has led the nation for many years in producing softwood lumber and plywood typically used for homebuilding. Oregon’s lumber output of 6.1 billion board feet in 2021 accounted for about 16.5% of total U.S. production, while Oregon plywood mills accounted for about 28% of total U.S. plywood production in 2021. 

Oregon also leads the nation in the number of plants that manufacture engineered wood products such as cross-laminated timber (CLT), glue-laminated timber (glulam), and mass plywood panels (MPP). MPP? Think plywood, but huge: Up to 48 feet long, 10 feet wide, and a foot thick. The only MPP manufacturer in the world, so far, is Freres Engineered Wood, in Lyons, Oregon.

Have a question about the trees and plants in our forests? Want to know how much of Oregon is forested now compared to, say, in 1600? Let me know. Email: [email protected]

Why People Disagree About (How Forest Plans Deal With) Climate Change. II. Some Philosophical Orientations and The Problem of Climate Everythingism

Ski area parking lot.There are many AGW-Climate Change philosophical differences that are out there that may influence forest planning. I’m sure there are more that readers can add. I’ll use “you” to mean a forest or other planning entity.

1. How do you handle uncertainties about future climates? How explicit are you about them? How do you treat model outputs, or like Denver Water, do you use a pretty broad uncertainty envelope? How do you combine uncertainties about climate with uncertainties about other things.. population, recreation use, economics? Do you use scenarios and involve the public, or what is your approach to discussing uncertainties with the public? (this was discussed more generally in the previous post).

2. I give adaptive management its own category here because it is something that the FS (and BLM?) were supposed to be doing, but may have had trouble.  At least at the level that some have talked about it (extremely formalized, scientist design, and so on).  Perhaps at the District human being observational level or the specialist level (say fuels or wildlife or reforestation)  it is working just fine using old-fangled communication- person to person and through professional groups. But maybe different “adaptive management” aficionados simply mean different things by their use of the term. How is adaptive management currently working on the forest, and how is the plan going to help- does it have a role; what are the requirements of the 2012 Rule on this, and how are they being applied?

3. Climate mitigation. Seems like we mostly hear about SOSO (same old same old) with regard to mitigation. ENGOs who didn’t want to cut trees now say it’s bad for carbon. ENGO’s who don’t like cattle grazing say it’s bad for methane. Less fossil fuel leasing seems like it would be mitigation, until you analyze it and discover that the sources simply move to private land or offshore. And what about recreation? Most recreators, myself included, use vehicles to access NF lands that are powered by fossil fuels directly or via electrical sources. What are the key issues in the plan vis a vis mitigation?

4. There’s also a bit of meta-thinking that I call Climate Everythingism.
To some, climate now the mantle for everything- other environmental issues, all natural hazards, as we have seen with EPA, CEQ, and many media outlets now have environment as a subset of climate. Check out the WaPo main page where Environment is a subset of Climate.

Others think that climate another source of uncertainty, like population and economics, which all need to be addressed through planning- and it is the role of each discipline to learn about what CC means for their resource.

Most Everythingists I’ve met consider themselves to be “climate experts” (whether I would consider them that or not). But for every Forest Service Everythingist who thinks we need climate specialists advising on each project, there is someone outside the Forest Service who thinks the agency itself can be done away with and replaced by a Climate Adaptation Agency staffed with.. climate experts. 
I often find what is least talked about in these discussions are the disciplinary and authority implications of Everythingism, as well as moving the locus of knowledge and authority away from experts on the ground and the people most affected. At its worst Everythingism could be a systemic antagonist to the idea of empowering disadvantaged communities. I find Everythingists not usually involved with forest planning, but their ideas are in the atmosphere, and may well be among partners and the public, so I think it’s something to be aware of.

Addition: I just ran a across a job ad for a Climate Editor at Vox Media on Linked-In. Under “About the Job” it says:

Climate change is the most important story in the world. It’s no longer a looming consequence in the far-off future, but rather a present challenge that’s forcing all of us to adapt. Wildlife and natural habitats are disappearing, driving a biodiversity crisis.

If you’re an Everythingist, I suppose biodiversity is a subset of climate. It’s a mantle that you can place over everything, except perhaps non-native invasive species. But we don’t hear about the latter much anymore.

Please add your own philosophical differences that may affect the approach to climate change in forest plans.