Pick a Lane, Please: Suppression Strategies, Particulates, Carbon, Climate Change and Capacity

This is a post in which I advocate for metrics to help improve wildfire management practices, and for forest plans to make certain wildfire management-related decisions.  Since I am usually skeptical of both metrics (too easily gamed, many discussions with my former boss Fred Norbuey) and forest planning (many discussions with all of you all), this is highly unusual, and possibly worthy of note.

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When I worked on Colorado Roadless, our team would often say “they need to pick a lane” because external folks would sometimes hold ideas that seemed to not be consistent to us.  Let’s just say that we as staff were not encouraged to ask clarifying questions when this happened- while we might think we were clarifying it could have been seen as challenging to People More Important Than Us

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So in this case, let’s put some pieces together.

  1. Climate change “causes” wildfire and things are going to get worse until the world gives up fossil fuels.

If we agree with this, then nothing in the way of wildfire is “natural” anymore, so we should use whatever capacity (human and technology) to reduce impacts. Pluse perhaps we need to give up the argument of “historical range of variation” and “wildfire deficit” and simply deal with what presents itself in the most practical way possible.  It  is more likely that decarbonization will be a relatively slow process, so adaptation will be key.

2.  A. It’s going to be a really bad year for wildfire in many parts of the west.

B.  Reorganization has affected wildfire capacity. Some in the media have elided the Interior Combo and the FS Reorg to some extent, and personally I think the jury is outon the Combo, still , certainly experienced folks have reiired, but let’s take it  as a hypothetical for now.

what doesn’t add up is C:

Since conditions are bad, and organizational issues beset the federal wildfire force, it’s also a serious problem if they don’t use monitoring, point protection and contain and confine, which all depend for success on ongoing use of more people and other resources thereby making them not available for the next problematic wildfire, which is sure to occure, because it’s a dry year.

So the Trump Admin can be dinged for not having enough well-trained people and, at the same time, for not using strategies that require a greater number of  well-trained people to carry off safely, plus conceivably extra resources on standby in case something goes awry.  This sounds like “management by wishful thinking”, not particularly safe, and not part of the wildland firefighting culture.   It seems to me that folks need to pick a lane. If conditions are bad, and people are few, this is not the year for operations that require more people to conduct and have a potential to escape.

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If we look at FY 2025, despite similar policies, MF still happened (or at least was reported) by the FS.  Of course the FY starts in October and the inauguration wasn’t til January, but it does make me wonder how this all fits together (policies vs. metrics).

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There’s also an obvious tension about how “we need” more fire on the landscape.  Again, this is not an argument that holds much weight in my county.  Again, it seems to be a federal lands issue.

Given that “we” need it, the argument for MF is that prescribed fire and MT won’t do it.  Which is OK, except we see hundreds of thousands of acres with Unwanted Wildfire, which should also be considered in the question of whether there is “enough” or not.

But that brings up a more complicated question.  If the goal is fuel reduction, then shouldn’t UWW  acres be counted when they reduce fuels? Wouldn’t we want to decide what it is that “we” want and measure the effects (good or bad) regardless of  whether the wildfire was prescribed, MF or UWF?  Conceivably that would help improve PF, MF, and UWW practices toward more of the good and less of the bad. We’ve seen PF that burned up all the trees (not the prescription), we’ve seen UWF that reduced fuel without killing all the trees.

Which brings up the question of “how do we know we don’t have enough if we don’t know how much we have (nor how much we want)?” since we all know (with climate change) that the past is information not a target.

Which leads me to the rare place where I agree that forest plans could be useful.  That is the place to look at specific landscapes, habitats, watersheds and decide what is wanted, and how to achieve it, with public involvement.  Many places have collaboration among government agencies and other groups and are figuring this out together, but it doesn’t seem yet to have a place in FS planning (PODs, evacuation routes, and so on).

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Then there are questions of air pollution from MF, PF and UWWF . If we were going for fewer particulates, what’s the best strategy? Plus there are especially bad pollutants from structures, so we would want to avoid wildfire running through communities, right?  And what about carbon?  Wildfires put large amounts into the atmosphere.  Probably the best way to deal with these would be PF and MT, including using the biomass instead of burning it in the woods  (also good for smoke, and safer).  Monitoring, point protection, and confine and contain don’t seem like they are very good for carbon or particulates.

Another pick a lane, more carbon and particulates versus PF and MT with some biomass use? It’s true that many are against using biomass for various ideological and practical reasons, but shouldn’t we at least attempt to get on the same page?

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And of course, to the people who say “suppression doesn’t work”- if it doesn’t work,, what difference does it make what strategy is selected?

A Deeper Dive into the “CRA and Plans” Question: Plus Some Relevant History Re the Rock Springs RMP

Note that the BLM is working on an amendment, at least for the Rock Springs RMP.

  1.  Rich J.’s Points.  

Rich J. brought up a couple of points here last Friday, I thought worthy of note. Again, it seems like a major kerfuffle about a few RMPs where the decision was made that the Governors did not support, and, as I recall, were even considering litigating.

“(A)Before a rule can take effect, the Federal agency promulgating such rule shall submit to each House of the Congress and to the Comptroller General a report containing—
(i)a copy of the rule;
(ii)a concise general statement relating to the rule, including whether it is a major rule; and
(iii)the proposed effective date of the rule.

To my (perhaps excessively picayune) mind this not “very specific” at all. The argument turns on the phrase “submit to.” Does it mean presenting the plan (er – rule) to Congressional leaders on a velvet pillow with trumpets and drums? Or does it mean something less?

The bigger question, as previously discussed on this blog, is whether there is any time limit on the CRA, or whether a Congress 10,000 years from now could invoke this law to reject some executive branch action from the benighted 21st century. I understand the arguments of the people who say the CRA will apply until the sun devours our sad planet. I simply reject those arguments as inconsistent with the administration of a rational polity.

That said, I think this complaint is awesome – it is, as the chess folks say, a forking check, and (whether intentionally or not) illustrates the absurdity of this ridiculous statute.”

2. Bit’o’History re Rock Springs RMP

It appears that, at least for the Rock Springs RMP, the BLM is also pursuing an amendment. See the link above.

There was a certain amount of what I call “sharp stick in the eye” with the Rock Springs RMP decision, which is the one I followed most closely. I haven’t been following the others affected by the CRA.

How do I define “sharp stick in the eye”? In this case there are at least two factors:

a. Decision made after election of different party (in this case, decision released December 20, 2024).

b. Blowing off states and Governors. We’ve all been there, there’s a variety of choices an Admin and Gov can work out, or not, but this appears to be an intentional “sharp stick in the eye.” Decided by folks in DC calling the BLM manager, as with some other of these  end of term decisions.

Interesting that in this December 30, 2024 news story, CRA is already mentioned as a possible :

“As expected, the BLM dismissed the governor’s consistency review as well as his (appeal),” West said. “We stand firm that this ROD will have detrimental effects to the economy of Sweetwater County and the state of Wyoming. Anyone who thinks the opposite clearly (hasn’t) read through the entirety of the plan.”

West noted there wasn’t much change, if any, from the draft to the final Environmental Impact Statement.

“We’ve worked hard to offer input and factual data as a cooperator for many years, but political agenda has become more important than the people with the boots on the ground, and as such, we’re all left paying the price,” he said.

West expressed hope for the new administration’s desire to listen to the local control in the months ahead, whether that be through litigation, the Congressional Review Act, or an amendment to the newly established RMP.

“It’s evident in the meantime that getting this out before January 20 was a bigger priority than working with those closest to the people.”

Another question would be that the Wilderness Society announced that the Director of BLM was joining them as president on Feb. 24, 2025. Of course, she must have recused herself from the Rock Springs RMP discussions.

I can imagine that if the situations were reversed, that the Trump Admin approved an RMP, that say, did not take into account comments of, say Gov. Newsom, and the BLM Director took a position with the oil and gas industry right before the decision came out, it would be considered a shockingly bad thing and any method to overturn it would be OK, in fact, noble. I’m thinking that the CRA (never done!) can be  a distraction from the “sharp stick in the eye” issue.

I don’t know what case law says about requirements in FLPMA for interaction with states on plans. There is a process for a consistency review, and perhaps the legislators assumed that the State and the Feds could work things out in one way or another.

Why use the CRA instead of litigation or an amendment? I would have chosen an amendment. I don’t know what they were thinking, but here are some guesses.  Litigation is a crapshoot as a notable FS planning director once said, so there’s that.  The amendment would probably be litigated, and the next Admin might not defend it, when The Wilderness Society birds flock back into political positions. But I’m not a lawyer so can’t guess. There’s plenty of work for them (lawyers) via CRA, litigation, or amendment.

3. Pandora’s Box Redux

Folks like the Center for Western Priorities call using the CRA “opening Pandora’s box.”  As readers know, that’s how I think of the NFMA plan revision process.  “Need for change” somehow devolved to “assess everything.” So, of course, I was curious about whether the 2012 Planning Rule had been reviewed by Congress. Here’s what Chat-GPT said:

The short answer is that the Congressional Review Act (CRA) provides only a limited time window for Congress to disapprove a rule. Once that window closes without a joint resolution of disapproval becoming law, the CRA can no longer be used against that rule.

Here’s how it works:

  1. The agency submits the rule.The USDA submitted the 2012 Forest Service Planning Rule to Congress and the Government Accountability Office, as required by the CRA.

  2. A review period begins.Members of Congress have a limited number of legislative (session) days—not calendar days—to introduce and act on a joint resolution of disapproval. The period is generally described as 60 legislative days in the House and 60 session days in the Senate after Congress receives the rule.

  3. Congress did not enact a resolution of disapproval.Although members could have introduced a CRA resolution, none was enacted into law before the review period expired.

  4. The opportunity expires.Once the CRA review period closes, Congress cannot later use the CRA to invalidate that same rule.

And the look-back used..

The CRA has a “lookback” provision for rules submitted near the end of a congressional session. In those cases, the next Congress gets a fresh review period. That provision does not apply to the 2012 Planning Rule because it was issued and submitted early in 2012, well before the end of the 112th Congress. By the time the 113th Congress convened in January 2013, the CRA review period for the rule had already expired.

Of course, Chat GPT could be wrong. Hopefully legal folks here will let us know.

4.  Forest Service Divination Strikes Out

My experience with going back in time legally was with the so-called “Gap Leases”, which had been issued in IRAs during the time period that the 2001 Rule was enjoined (by Judge Brimmer, in Wyoming).  Many people thought that they were illegitimate- or at least said so quite loudly, as if the FS had some kind of divinatory powers.  How handy that would be..the National Divination Service Center!  But if plans didn’t count as rules in times prior, and rules must go through the review process.. well, you can see the problem as Rich J. pointed out above.

5.  Why Litigate?

In my view, this is a standard “disagreement over plan content” with a “sharp-stick in the eye” overlay.  I wonder what the purpose is of this litigation.  Are groups really that attached to these specific RMPs?  Is it really worth all the effort and resources? Hopefully, again, someone can explain.

6. Ongoing Amendment Process

Seems like there is also an ongoing amendment process.

Breaking news – Republicans break federal land management

 

(from Inside Higher Ed)

FUTURE LITIGATION?

On April 16, the U. S. Senate voted 50-49 to invoke the Congressional Review Act to overturn a 20-year ban on mining on more than 225,000 acres of the Superior National Forest upstream of the Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness.  The President is expected to sign it.  Under the CRA, federal agencies must submit new regulations to Congress before they can take effect.  If Congress disapproves by a simple majority, the agency can never issue another rule “in substantially the same form.”

This is the first time Congress has used the CRA to overturn a management decision on national forest land, although the ban on mining was in a public land order mineral withdrawal. by the Secretary of the Interior. The title of the joint resolution is:

“H.J.Res.140 – Providing for congressional disapproval under chapter 8 of title 5, United States Code, of the rule submitted by the Bureau of Land Management relating to Public Land Order No. 7917 for Withdrawal of Federal Lands; Cook, Lake, and Saint Louis Counties, MN.”

While this resolution describes the Secretarial Order as a “rule,” federal land management agencies have never considered their land management decisions to be regulations, and so have never submitted them for congressional review, apparently leaving them vulnerable to review now.   Last year, Congress employed the CRA to invalidate several BLM resource management plans.  We discussed that here.

During the CRA’s first 20 years of existence, it was used only once. But President Trump and Republicans have worked to dramatically expand and weaponize the CRA.  It appears the current Congress sees no limits to what kinds of agency decisions it may review and reverse.  It’s not hard to imagine the chaos this could cause for federal land management, especially with regard to land management plans.  Plans revised (and presumably amendments) after the passage of the CRA in 1996 would be vulnerable.  Another example, Republican Senator Mike Lee of Utah has proposed a CRA resolution to eliminate the resource management plan for the Grand Staircase Escalante National Monument.

Potential litigants are circling, one referring to the situation as “extraordinarily legally questionable.” Our prior discussion touched on the question of how a lawsuit might arise.

“The U.S. Forest Service is 100 percent opposed to mining in this watershed,” said Marc Fink, director of the Public Lands Law Center and a senior attorney for the Center for Biological Diversity. In 2016, the Forest Service determined that a sulfide-ore copper mine, such as the one Twin Metals is proposing, could cause “extreme” and “serious and irreplaceable harm” to the area. “This clearly goes against the science and the administration’s own agencies,” Fink said.

 

Federal Lands Litigation – special planning edition (March 2026)

 

Lawsuits involving land management plans are uncommon, but we have two to look at right now.  Both also involve the interplay between land management plans and the Endangered Species Act.  A district court has decided that the Nantahala-Pisgah National Forest LMP violated the ESA’s requirements for consultation on listed species.  At the other end of the court process, the BLM has been sued (again) for a plan that allegedly fails to adequately address the greater sage-grouse, a species for which listing was prevented by agency actions to amend BLM (and Forest Service) land management plans.

Court decision in Defenders of Wildlife v. U. S. Forest Service (W. D. North Carolina)

On March 31, the district court vacated the Fish and Wildlife Service’s Biological Opinion for the revised Nantahala-Pisgah Forest Plan, which violated the Endangered Species Act with respect to four bat species.  This means the forest plan does not comply with the ESA and may not be implemented.  The court said its decision “voids authority for the Revised Forest Plan,” and it appears this means reversion to the prior plan.  The revised plan would have increased the amount of logging.  The opinion can be downloaded from the article.  There is (or was) a second lawsuit pending against the revised plan, discussed here.

The court did not agree with the plaintiffs on all counts.  In particular, it upheld the use of the national forest boundaries as the ESA action area for the forest plan decision, despite some evidence of indirect effects occurring outside of this boundary.  This affects the scope of required analysis.  The court did find the following flaws in the FWS BiOp.

The environmental baseline was inadequate because, even though forest plans are programmatic decisions and may require a “broader scope,” “Other than the general and unexplained conclusions that bats use the Forests and that the Forests contain suitable habitat for the bats, the environmental baseline offers no assessment of the conditions of the bats that are specific to the action area.” The BiOp’s environmental baseline evaluation also failed to account for the actual impacts of any past or present federal, state, or private actions in the action area.

Again recognizing that this is a programmatic decision, the court stated with regard to cumulative effects that, “Even when FWS lacks comprehensive information, it may still determine whether ‘activities in particular areas [are] fundamentally incompatible with the continued existence of the species’ and, in light of that determination, recommend constraints on certain activities in particular areas as needed” (which in the case of a forest plan could be additional protective plan components).  The BiOp also did not address the effects of the non-federal actions that had been identified in the record, and the court construed the overall lack of effort as “an improper wholesale deferral” of effects analysis to future projects.

The court also found the “no jeopardy” determination by the FWS in the BiOp to be arbitrary and capricious because it did not explain how they reached that determination in light of the conclusions in the biological assessment and other facts indicating that the species on the forest were at high risk and important to the species as a whole.  While the court also faulted the Forest Service for relying on this improper jeopardy determination, it determined that the Forest Service BA adequately provided the best available science to the FWS, even if they may have misinterpreted that science.

New lawsuit:  Montana Wildlife Federation v. Burgum (D. Montana)

On March 26, the Montana Wildlife Federation, The Wilderness Society and Defenders of Wildlife filed a lawsuit against the 2025 amendments to the Montana and Wyoming BLM resource management plans, which modified 2015 plan amendments that convinced the Fish and Wildlife Service to not list greater sage-grouse as threatened or endangered.  The BLM’s 2025 amendments make a number of changes that reduce protection that had been provided to sage-grouse in the 2015 plans. A lawsuit by different parties was discussed here.

This case will focus on oil and gas and mineral development.  According to the complaint, the BLM removed a requirement to prioritize development outside of important sage-grouse habitat, abandoned a provision of the prior plans calling for a mineral withdrawal that would have prevented mining on 10 million acres of the most important sage-grouse habitat, and weakened numerous minimization and mitigation measures.

The plaintiffs allege violations of FLPMA, NEPA and the APA.  The FLPMA requirement is to manage for sustained yield of wildlife, and the Fish and Wildlife Service had previously said the conservation measures removed were necessary to prevent further decline and likely listing under the Endangered Species Act.  Alleged violations of NEPA involve failure to acknowledge, based on the best available science, that these amendments would be less protective of sage-grouse and to disclose those adverse effects, and failure to properly evaluate the loss of mitigation measures that were already proving inadequate.  The case also will address the effects of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (which was adopted between the final EIS and the ROD for these amendments) on BLM’s discretion to not lease sage-grouse habitat for oil and gas, and the effects on sage-grouse of claimed likely additional development that would be allowed.  The article includes a link to the complaint.

Court decision in  Montana Wildlife Federation v. Haaland (9th Cir.)

(I apparently missed this decision at the time – which points out that my search system isn’t perfect, and if someone feels like I missed something important to federal lands management, they should let me know.)

On January 17, 2025, the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals enjoined several leases in sage-grouse habitat conducted under the 2015 sage-grouse plan amendments in response to two separate lawsuits.  The Montana Wildlife Federation case was heard in the Montana district court and the Western Watersheds Project case originated in Idaho (though these appeals to the Ninth Circuit did not involve leases in either state).

The circuit court determined that a BLM “instructional memo,” which interpreted the 2015 plan to require prioritization of oil and gas permits outside of sage-grouse habitat only when there was a backlog in processing expressions of interest, was plainly inconsistent with the 2015 plan (which had no such qualifier) because “IM 2018-026 prioritizes administrative efficiency over the 2015 Plan’s stated purpose of protecting sage-grouse habitat.”  The court concluded, “The agency thus failed to draw a “rational connection” between the backlog requirement and the substantive, conservation-oriented goals of the 2015 Plan.”  While the court did not invalidate the memo, it found that the June 2018 Wyoming lease sales (addressed by the Montana court), which applied the interpretation in the memo, violated FLPMA because they did not conform to the management plans.  The court found this substantive violation of FLPMA warranted vacating the leases.

In the Idaho case, the 9th Circuit concluded that BLM violated both FLPMA and NEPA with respect to five lease sales (677 leases) when it eliminated in some instances and severely shortened in others the various public participation periods without providing an adequate explanation for its change in policy.  The court stated, “BLM failed entirely to acknowledge the potential costs of reducing public participation in leasing decisions, including that shortening the participation opportunity might lead to insufficient consideration of the environmental impacts of its actions.”  The court found this procedural violation to be less severe, and enjoined the relevant sales without vacating the leases in Nevada, Wyoming and Utah.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Is this “thinning?”

These photographs accompany a Missoulian article on a vegetation management project on the Lolo National Forest in Missoula’s WUI, showing trees (ponderosa pines?) marked for removal.  Most of the purpose and need is related to reducing fire risk, but there is also an assertion that these marked trees are ecologically inappropriate.  Here is what the decision notice says:

While ecological restoration and resiliency are embedded in WAM, the MCCWPP, Forest Service policy, and the National Cohesive Strategy, there is less agreement from the Missoula community about restoration as the sole basis for wildfire risk reduction fuel treatments. This debate about restoration has been ongoing for many years, as the wildfire hazard and risk to our community continues to increase. As the District Ranger, I considered this challenge and while the purpose and need focuses on fuel treatments to reduce hazard and risk, the project also meets ecological objectives to create resilient ecosystems. Both objectives are met through the actions included in the Selected Action and this decision and are designed to achieve the following restoration and resilience strategies:

  • Reduce surface and ladder fuels; increase crown base heights

  • Reduce and maintain lower tree densities; decrease crown bulk density

  • Increase composition of fire and drought-tolerant species (ponderosa pine and western larch

  • Increase mean diameter and individual tree vigor by retaining large trees with healthy crowns

  • Conserve existing species and genetic diversity

  • Restore horizontal spatial heterogeneity of forest structure, including openings where early-seral species can establish

  • Reintroduce fire to reduce fuel loads, stimulate understory species, and maintain desired fuel beds

  • Reduce/maintain appropriate levels of pathogens, insects, and other disturbances in order to create decadence, mortality, and interactions with fire that lead to regeneration of new tree cohorts and diverse understories

  • Monitor key processes including mortality, regeneration, growth, fuel accumulation and new species colonization to inform management if the project is meeting objectives to reduce hazard and risk and create resilient ecosystems.

Make sense?  Both objectives met?  (Note that board feet is not mentioned here.)  To me this kind of captures the debate about when is it necessary to remove the overstory to provide fuel reduction, which is going to be the “mature” trees that many would like to save.  Should we be striving for historical conditions, or less density than that because there are houses nearby, in which case I would say the ecological goal is not being met?   Keeping in mind that the “natural range of variation” is a requirement for ecosystems, not projects, I hope the forest plan identifies areas where risk reduction outweighs restoration as a desired outcome (purpose and need) of projects.  And that the NRV for ecosystems takes into consideration the areas that won’t have that desired condition.

Forest planning update

I sat in on the Lolo National Forest plan revision public webinar yesterday to get an update on the status of that (especially given recent changes in the forest supervisor and planning team leader).  They have taken comments on the proposed action and are working on the draft plan and EIS.  They are projecting a delay of a few months, with expected release around the turn of the year (how many of us have seen these things happen over the holidays?).

It was interesting to hear that the Lolo’s revision is considered a “national priority,” reflected in how quickly they were able to replace the team leader.  Someone said they really need a “current plan.”  Also interesting to hear about the new planning structure, where the revision is being conducted by a “mountain states planning services group” (a forerunner of a “3-region” structure?).

They were not saying anything about how the Trump Administration’s priorities might affect them, actually saying they were still uncertain.  They acknowledged, in particular, the questions of how the roadless area rescission process and changes in NEPA procedures may affect them, as well as various executive orders.  They committed to “transparency” and best available science.  They did not commit to edge-matching the Nez Perce-Clearwater revision, just completed – since plan revisions are “forest supervisor decisions.”

(In my humble opinion, those two questions are not that difficult.  As long as the Planning Rule says there needs to be an EIS for plan revisions, that’s what is required.  The depth of analysis shouldn’t change, and should still be driven by the environmental impacts – doing anything less should be considered arbitrary.  And protecting roadless areas must be considered a reasonable alternative, depending on the timing possibly as part of the no-action alternative, but certainly as part of a contending alternative.)

In other news, the Bridger-Teton National Forest released its draft assessment for plan revision on July 1.  Included are species of conservation concern being recommended to the regional forester.  Comments may be submitted through August 24.  One early criticism is that the assessment “does not include all the important research on big game migrations.”

Also, the Blue Mountains revision group (Malheur, Umatilla, and Wallowa-Whitman National Forests) are accepting comments and offering public meetings on the “preliminary draft” revised forest plans.  (They have been here before.)

Others?  (Forest planning hasn’t been in the news much lately.)

Does the Congressional Review Act apply to federal land management plans?

House Republicans this week are expected to weigh in on BLM resource management plans in Alaska, North Dakota and Montana, where the GAO has found them to be subject to the Congressional Review Act.  Pursuant to the CRA, any “rule” can be reversed by Congress and the president using this procedure.  The CRA requires that agencies report their rules to Congress and provides special fast-track procedures under which Congress can consider legislation to overturn those rules. The definition of “rule” is broader than formal regulations, but it has exceptions that might apply to something like agency plans for federal lands:

  • any rule relating to agency management or personnel; or
  • any rule of agency organization, procedure, or practice that does not substantially affect the rights or obligations of non-agency parties.

In 1997, the General Accounting Office determined that the Tongass National Forest Land and Resource Management Plan was a rule for the purpose of the CRA.  However, Congress did not act to reverse this decision.

Use of the CRA seems to depend on the GAO of the current administration.  The GAO applied the Tongass reasoning and conclusion to USDI in 2017.  Then, at the end of the Biden Administration, USDI had this to say about BLM plans:  “RMPs have never been considered rules by the Department of the Interior (Department) or any reviewing court.”  This letter provides the analysis leading to that conclusion.

The same letter pointed out the perverse effect of using the CRA for agency land management plans:  “the CRA’s prohibition on issuing a rule ‘… in substantially the same form’ could have extremely far-reaching consequences for BLM plans that make hundreds of overarching allocation decisions across millions of acres …”

Land management plans are not typically presented to Congress by the agencies as rules subject to the CRA (including these BLM plans), and Congress has apparently never applied the CRA to federal land management plans.  If that is done here, it’s not hard to imagine it showing up in a future federal lands litigation update.

A similar effort in Colorado is proceeding outside of the CRA parameters.

 

Forest Plan Litigation – early 2025 update

FOREST PLANS

There are not a lot of lawsuits involving forest plans, but oddly there has been news about three of them (and maybe four) in the last couple of months.  I’ve separated those out for this summary, partly because I thought the first one was worth covering at length for any planning nerds left out there.

Court decision in San Luis Valley Ecosystem Council v. Dallas (D. Colorado)

(Thanks to Susan Jane Brown for filling in this gap in my newsfeed.)

On December 13, the district court upheld the Rio Grande’s revised forest plan against challenges based on its treatment of the Canada lynx and the Uncompahgre fritillary butterfly (UFB).  Both species are federally listed as threatened under the ESA, but the claims were related to compliance with NFMA and NEPA.

Plaintiffs argued that the revised plan did not comply with the requirement of the Planning Rule for the UFB that plan components “provide the ecological conditions necessary to: contribute to the recovery of federally listed threatened and endangered species …” 36 C.F.R § 219.9(b)(1).  Key ecological conditions necessary for the UFB are large patches of snow willow located above 12,000 feet, and alleged threats to the UFB are from illegal collection, recreation, livestock grazing, and climate change.  Plaintiffs sought specific protection from these threats for colony sites and potential recovery areas.  The court conducted a granular review of the relevant forest plan components (and so will I).

It focused first on species-specific plan components that had been included in the draft plan, but not in the final plan, and plaintiffs believed this weakened the protection for these species beyond what NFMA requires.  The court found that these three plan components “may have been condensed into other components” in the final plan.  The court held, “Petitioners do not explain why condensing these three components into other components or removing them for redundancy was ‘a clear error of judgment’ sufficient to overcome the presumption of validity attaching to the agency’s action.

The court characterized a second argument as, “essentially that the final plan should have been identical to the draft plan because “neither the status review or Biological Assessment contain any different information than what was before the agency when it published the [draft] EIS.”  The court could find no “record evidence suggesting the eliminated species-specific components would have provided for butterfly recovery in a way that the remaining ecological plan components would not.”

The court then found that the discussion of the effects of other plan components (not specific to these species) showed they would meet the needs of these species, focusing on four desired conditions and one guideline.  The court found that the desired condition of “[m]aintain[ing] or improv[ing] habitat conditions that contribute to either stability or recovery” met the Planning Rule requirement to be “specific.”  The court added, “It certainly seems possible to measure whether the snow willow population in that area is ‘maintaining or improving,'” and that plaintiffs, “do not, however, provide any authority indicating what level of detail is required; nor was the Court able to locate caselaw defining that requirement.”

The court also found that two desired conditions for different “species of conservation concern” need not be disregarded because they may benefit the UFB even though they are not directed at that species.  Plaintiffs argued that a desired condition for connectivity was insufficient, to which the court responded that, “Petitioners point to no authority suggesting that desired conditions must be self-executing, or that each component must simultaneously address all possible threats to a given species.

With regard to the one guideline, the court discussed the programmatic nature of forest plans, and held:

“Petitioners do not provide any authority to support their assertion that the guideline insufficiently constrains the agency’s future management actions. They seem to believe that the 2020 Plan must be an exhaustive enumeration of all requirements for future site-specific actions….  The Court is thus unpersuaded by Petitioners’ request to, in effect, superimpose the requirements for approving site-specific projects onto its review of the more general Forest Plan at issue here.”

Finally, with regard to the adequacy of the ecosystem components leading to no need for species-specific plan components, “the Court finds the USFS exercised its prerogative to determine whether fine-filter components were necessary to provide for the key ecological conditions to contribute to the recovery of the UFB.”

As for NEPA, the court found that analyzing the effects of the winter motorized recreation plan components on lynx without first updating the 2018 lynx map for changes in snow compaction levels was not arbitrary or capricious.  While the court observed that plaintiff’s argument seemed reasonable, it said they didn’t do enough to overcome the Forest Service position that there were “no significant changes in the compaction routes and noted that it was committed to ‘remapping of compaction and the overlap with associated LAUs . . . as soon as practical.’”  The court held, “it is clear from the record that the USFS considered and applied what it considered to be the best available science…” and plaintiff’s argument was “more of a methodological quibble.”  For the UFB, the court referred to its analysis for the NFMA claim as determinative of the NEPA claim and found that “the analysis of the UFB” was adequate under NEPA.

Finally, plaintiffs claimed that the Forest should have considered an alternative that included two Special Interest Areas.  The court rejected an argument by the Forest Service that they could reject such an alternative because that would keep them from providing other multiple-uses.  However, the court then decided that these alternatives were not “significantly distinguishable from alternatives already considered.”  With regard to one of the areas, the court faulted plaintiffs for not showing that an existing alternative “would result in significantly different regulatory requirements.”  For the other area, the court found that the proposed Special Interest Area would either provide protection for lynx that already existed in the no-action alternative or if not, “would not have promoted the objectives of balancing competing interests in the plan area.”  Therefore, it was properly eliminated from detailed study as an alternative.

For those looking for insights into how the Supreme Court’s decision in Loper Bright could affect the deference that courts will give to federal land management agencies, that opinion was not briefed in this case, but the district court explained in a footnote: “But this Court has likewise found no basis to conclude it affects the analysis here, which—though it implicates the APA—does not involve any disputed statutory construction.”  However, with regard to the analysis of effects on wildlife species, “where that analysis ‘requires a high degree of technical expertise,’ the Court properly ‘defer[s] to the informed discretion of the responsible agency.’”  Overall, “a presumption of validity attaches to agency action.”

(For what it’s worth, I found a number of flaws in the court’s reasoning that I think could be worth an appeal, but I understand plaintiffs are not going to do that.)

Government drops its appeal in Swan View Coalition v. Haaland (9th Cir.)

On February 20, the circuit court dismissed this case against the Flathead National Forest after the defendants opted not to appeal a lower court’s determination that the Forest Service violated the Endangered Species Act because it failed to adequately consider the effects on grizzly bears and bull trout of closed roads and unauthorized use of roads when it adopted its revised forest plan (discussed here).  Here is the order.

Court decision in Helena Hunters and Anglers Association v. Moore (9th Circuit)

On February 25, the Ninth Circuit affirmed the district court decision (discussed here) to uphold the ESA consultation on the revised forest plan for the Helena-Lewis and Clark National Forest.  The circuit court addressed only the question of how the Fish and Wildlife Service must analyze the “removal” of ten standards for big game that were in the original plan and also protected grizzly bears.  It held:

“FWS was not required to spell out, separately and specifically, all changes between the 1986 Plan and the 2021 Plan and their incremental effects on grizzly bears. Instead, the text of the ESA and its implementing regulations requires a more wholistic approach that was satisfied here…  The analysis by FWS therefore captured the total net effect of implementing the entire forest plan.”

New lawsuit:  Native Ecosystems Council v. Webber (D. Montana)

On February 18, the Alliance for the Wild Rockies, Native Ecosystems Council and Council on Fish and Wildlife sued the Forest Service over its approval of the Wood Duck Project on the Helena-Lewis and Clark National Forest.  It calls for 42 acres of clearcutting, 936 acres of additional commercial logging, and 263 acres of other logging in an area of widespread tree mortality.  Plaintiffs state that 195 acres is in old growth, and the area is important to grizzly bears and big game, and they allege violations of NEPA and NFMA.  According the plaintiffs, “The lawsuit raises challenges against the project, and also against the Forest Service’s failure to implement strong protections for public land elk habitat, grizzly bear travel corridors, and old growth forest across the Helena – Lewis and Clark National Forest.”  That sounds like they could also be initiating a lawsuit against the revised forest plan.  (I have not seen the complaint.)

 

2025 Forest Plan Revision Schedule – (A new quarter-century of forest planning?)

Ignoring for the moment that planning for anything in government right now is impossible, I’ve updated the spreadsheet that the Forest Service used to maintain to let everyone know the status of forest planning across the country.  (Maybe they still have one available internally, but it’s no longer on the website.)  Any way, here it is:  2025 planning status  

This is based on my review of the websites provided in prior years by the Forest Service (some of which were not valid, so I found another).  Feel free to correct anything.

Briefly, it shows 14 forest plans “in revision,” 30 plans that have never been revised, 63 plans that were revised under the 1982 regulations, and 18 revised under the 2012 Planning Rule.  78 plans are currently beyond the 15-year deadline in NFMA for being revised.

One thing that has surprised me a bit is the sparse media coverage of planning, but maybe that’s just because not much has been going on.  Here’s a recent sample.

A couple of plan amendment stories:

This site provides information on BLM planning from June 2024.  (Thanks, BLM!)