Some Ideas for Managed Fire (WildFire With Benefits): Nadine Bailey

We have some folks at TSW of these varying positions.

(1) No managed fire

(2) Some managed fire if…

(3) Current approach is fine, no changes needed.

There’s much possible territory to discuss in (2). There’s my idea.. to do a stand-down of plan revisions and OG amendments until wildfire amendments are completed for all wildfire-prone NFs.  The wildfire amendments would have an EIS, development and maintenance of PODs and fuelbreaks, conditions for managed fire,  areas delineated for prescribed fires,  and coordination with communities’ efforts, plus public involvement.

What other ideas are out there? Nadine Bailey has some in her comments on the NW Forest Plan on Canva.  She explains her views and experiences very clearly and she has great photos.

 

areas, so that we can work on the communities and areas that are at the highest risk.

The other thing that strikes me is that the NWFP amendment process is going forward without a formal and open lessons learned of what might have gone better with the NWFP.  Of course, JWT never meant that to happen, as we see in Nadine’s slide above,  and he was a knowledgeable and well-meaning individual.  So why did have bad things to wildlife and watersheds and people apparently resulted?   Was that actually from the NWFP or from other causes?

What worked well and what didn’t? And, as I’ve said before, why do we have lessons learned for a GS-5 who rolls a four-wheeler, but not for the massively disruptive policy interventions?  It’s almost as if the greater the impact to the public, the less we think any kind of improvement is important.  Are we afraid to question powerful people? Trust in government= accountability plus transparency plus access.  Whoops, sorry about the soapbox.

Back to “what do you think of Nadine’s ideas?”  Do you have other ideas?

 

Pintler Face Project: Why Wait Three Years to Litigate?

Going through the Fix Our Forests litigation tweaks (which hopefully someone understands better than I), I was reminded of another Nick Smith story about the Pintler Face Project on the Beaverhead-Deerlodge. I did see a time limit for filing in Fix our Forests, which seems like a good idea, especially when we look at this case.

According to AFRC,

Almost three years after the Pintler Face Project’s approval, and after nearly half of the commercial timber harvest had been completed, anti-forestry groups filed a complaint alleging that the Forest Service violated the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) and the Endangered Species Act (ESA). Three months later, just as commercial harvest was about to resume, anti-forestry groups filed a motion for a preliminary injunction to halt all project activities, alleging irreparable harm under their NEPA and ESA claims.

On June 25, Judge Christensen held a hearing on the preliminary injunction, with strong support for the Forest Service, AFRC, and Defendant-Intervenors, evidenced by over 30 supporters present in the courtroom. This community support underscores the importance of projects like Pintler Face, which benefit forest health and the rural communities relying on a steady source of timber from federal lands.

In his decision, Judge Christensen ruled that the commercial harvest component of the project, encompassing 3,934 acres, can proceed. However, the non-commercial work, covering 7,765 acres, is enjoined until the court decides the case’s merits. Operations, which were suspended in May, can now resume on July 16 following the spring bear season’s close.

The Pintler Face Project includes four timber sales, all timber salvage contracts aimed at removing dead and dying trees from pine beetle infestations. One sale is complete, two are approximately 25 to 30 percent complete, and the last is set to begin in November.

Anti-forestry challenged the project based on a remapping of lynx habitat by the Forest Service in 2020, which reduced habitat without a NEPA analysis. They also contested the adequacy of the Fish and Wildlife Service’s Biological Opinion (BiOp) for the project concerning the grizzly bear.

During the hearing, the federal attorneys argued for the dismissal of anti-forestry groups’ claims on the 2020 remapping due to their failure to raise concerns during the project’s objection and public commenting period. The government also argued against the preliminary injunction, highlighting the groups’ nearly three-year delay after the project’s approval in 2021 to file their motion.

In denying the injunction, Judge Christensen recognized that enjoining the project’s commercial activities would harm the local, timber-dependent communities, noting the significant economic investments made and the many jobs provided by Iron Pine and Sun Mountain. The judge highlighted the salvage nature of the commercial work: “Because dead and dying timber loses its commercial value rapidly, even a short-term injunction would jeopardize the local economy.

Here’s a link to the project site. It has a 367 page EA, an 84 page Decision Notice, and the Decision Notice was signed on 9/09/21. To me, the timing of half-way through the completion of the project seems odd.  I wonder why the plaintiffs chose that timeframe.

The story says plaintiffs “challenged the project based on a remapping of lynx habitat by the Forest Service in 2020, which reduced habitat without a NEPA analysis.” Not to sound too Ohio Forestry-esque, but mapping without specific projects doesn’t actually reduce habitat.  And that was done in 2020 before the decision was made, so they could have commented or objected.  There must be more here than meets the eye. Plus the trees involved are dead or dying.   Guess who the plaintiffs are?  AWR, Native Ecosystems Council and a group called Yellowstone to Uintas. Y to U advocates for a wildlife corridor, from Yellowstone to the Uinta Mountains in Utah. Now I’m not the greatest at Montana geography, but the site of the Pinteler project doesn’t seem anywhere near the corridor that Y to U’s are proposing.

Anyway, back to the discussion we had here.  There is something different about Montana (or R-1) and I think it’s due to the presence of certain litigation-oriented groups.  And I don’t think the FS or BLM proposing only projects supported by AWR is a good solution.

CASPO Benefits From Rx Fire

Yet another interesting link from Nick Smith…. This is from Audubon. This has been said many times here on TSW: Yes, Rx fire burns up accumulated fuels, but you can’t have an Rx fire with high fuel loads — see below. Trigger warning <grin>: mentions managed wildfire.

Fire Is a Major Threat to California Spotted Owls—but Could it Also Help Save Them?

The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service could soon give the subspecies protection under the Endangered Species Act, and is calling for more beneficial fire to help the birds rebound.

Excerpt:

Wildfire is nothing new in California. In recent years, though, the blazes have taken on increased severity and reshaped the landscape. As more of their home turf transforms, California Spotted Owls—dark-eyed, mottled-brown raptors living in the state’s central and southern forests—have been feeling that heat: Destructive megafires burned more of their habitat in 2020 and 2021 alone than in the previous 35 years. Experts say these growing disasters represent the most urgent threat to the birds.

Recognizing this mounting menace—along with other, intertwined hazards such as climate change and drought—the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) last year announced plans to give the birds Endangered Species Act protections.

Yet the California Spotted Owl’s best hope, counterintuitively, may also lie in fire. Research increasingly suggests that lower-severity burning—which burns up accumulated fuels but can leave many larger trees intact—not only inoculates many drier forests against destructive megafires, but also creates the mosaic of habitat types that the birds gravitate toward. “It really depends on how it burns,” says Gavin Jones, a U.S. Forest Service wildlife ecologist. “In general, these owls like fire.”

….

The USFWS listing decision “recommends more thinning of the owl’s forests. Though critics contend thinning sometimes offers timber companies a pretext for cutting big trees, research shows that clearing dense brush and selectively logging, when combined with intentional fire, can create the patchwork structure that benefits owls while also reducing fire severity.” [emphasis mine]

The Vital Role of Categorical Exclusions in Forest Restoration Projects: Hannah Downey

Here’s the link to Hannah’s paper:

Large and destructive wildfires are becoming more common across the West. Although several factors contribute to this trend, the declining health of our nation’s forests is a primary cause. Our forests are filled with excess dead and dying trees, brush, and other fuels—to the point where an area larger than the state of California is in need of restoration. Removing those fuels through mechanical thinning and prescribed fire are urgently needed to reduce wildfire damage and promote forest resilience. A new meta-analysis published in the journal Forest Ecology and Management found that combining mechanical thinning with prescribed burns reduces the severity of subsequent wildfires in an area by 62-72 percent.

The Forest Service heavily depends on categorical exclusions to help get work done. In an appearance before the U.S. House Natural Resources Committee earlier this month, Forest Service Chief Randy Moore emphasized that 87 percent of the agency’s NEPA compliance is done through categorical exclusions.

To be fair, we need to compare apples (fuels projects) to apples, not oranges (CE’s for administrative site renovations or renewing outfitter guide permits or…)

The Lawsuit

Recently, however, the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals—which oversees Montana and other Western states—ruled to limit the use of categorical exclusions. In Friends of the Inyo v. United States Forest Service the Court held that the Forest Service cannot use categorical exclusions to approve a project unless the entire project fits in a single categorical exclusion. This decision could severely hamper the Service’s ability to conduct forest restoration work as the agency routinely cites multiple categorical exclusions for bigger projects that combine more or more needed actions.

The Impact

Amidst current frustrations over how slow forest restoration activities take place, the process will get even more cumbersome and tangled with this new ruling. For example, PERC researchers found it takes an average of 3.6 years for treatment to begin on a prescribed burn project when a CE is issued. This timeframe extends to 5.6 years when an Environmental Assessment (EA) is conducted and further increases to 7.2 years when an Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) is used. Without the use of CEs, our forests face a significant risk of being destroyed in catastrophic fires while awaiting for a project approval.

Conclusion

The hopeful news is that policymakers in Congress are working to expand the benefits of categorical exclusions. The Farm Bill proposal from the House of Representatives includes policies to expand categorical exclusions focused on healthy forests and reduced wildfire risk to 10,000 acres. The bipartisan Fix Our Forests Act would similarly expand categorical exclusions and reduce litigation over forest projects.

Here’s what Fix Our Forests Act says about litigation reform (sorry about the formatting).

(a) IN GENERAL .—A court shall not enjoin a fireshed3
management project if the court determines that the plain-4
tiff is unable to demonstrate that the claim of the plaintiff5
is likely to succeed on the merits.6
(b) BALANCING SHORT – AND LONG -TERM EFFECTS7
OF FIRESHED MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES IN CONSID -8
ERING INJUNCTIVE RELIEF .—As part of its weighing the9
equities while considering any request for an injunction10
that applies to any agency action as part of a fireshed11
management project, the court reviewing the agency ac-12
tion shall balance the impact to the ecosystem likely af-13
fected by the fireshed management project of—14
(1) the short- and long-term effects of under-15
taking the agency action; against16
(2) the short- and long-term effects of not un-17
dertaking the action.18
(c) LIMITATIONS FOR INJUNCTIVE RELIEF AND RE -19
MAND .—20
(1) IN GENERAL .—Notwithstanding any other21
provision of law, a court shall not vacate or other-22
wise limit, delay, stay, or enjoin a fireshed manage-23
ment project unless the court determines that—24
36
(A) the fireshed management project will1
pose a risk of a proximate and substantial envi-2
ronmental harm; and3
(B) there is no other equitable remedy4
available as a matter of law.5
(2) R EMAND .—6
(A) IN GENERAL .—Notwithstanding any7
other provision of law, if a court determines8
that a fireshed management project will not9
pose a risk of a proximate and substantial envi-10
ronmental harm—11
(i) the court may remand the fireshed12
management project to the applicable13
agency with instruction to correct (includ-14
ing specific directions) the errors or defi-15
ciencies within 180 days; and16
(ii) an activity under the fireshed17
management project may be carried out so18
long as such activity does not affect the er-19
rors or deficiencies described in clause (i).20
(B) REVIEW .—Unless the court finds that21
the applicable agency entirely failed to prepare22
a required environmental assessment or envi-23
ronmental impact statement, on remand—24
37
(i) the court shall not require such1
agency to prepare a new environmental as-2
sessment or environmental impact state-3
ment; and4
(ii) such agency may use another for-5
mat, including a memorandum or errata6
sheet, to document any new analysis re-7
quired.8
(d) LIMITATIONS ON CLAIMS .—Notwithstanding any9
other provision of law, a claim arising under Federal law10
seeking judicial review of a fireshed management project11
shall be barred unless—12
(1) with respect to an agency document noticed13
in the Federal Register, such claim is filed not later14
than 120 days after the date of publication of a no-15
tice in the Federal Register of agency intent to carry16
out the fireshed management project, unless a short-17
er period is specified in such Federal law;18
(2) in the case of an agency document not de-19
scribed in paragraph (1), such claim is filed not20
later than 120 days after the date that is the earlier21
of—22
(A) the date on which such agency docu-23
ment is published; and24
(B) the date on which such agency docu-1
ment is noticed; and2
(3) in the case of an authorization or action for3
which there was a public comment period, such4
claim—5
(A) is filed by a party that—6
(i) participated in the administrative7
proceedings regarding such fireshed man-8
agement project; and9
(ii) submitted a comment during such10
public comment period and such comment11
was sufficiently detailed to put the applica-12
ble agency on notice of the issue upon13
which the party seeks judicial review; and14
(B) is related to such comment.15
(e) DEFINITIONS .—In this section:16
(1) AGENCY DOCUMENT .—The term ‘‘agency17
document’’ means, with respect to a fireshed man-18
agement project, a record of decision, categorical ex-19
clusion, environmental document, or programmatic20
environmental document.21
(2) NEPA TERMS .—The terms ‘‘categorical ex-22
clusion’’, ‘‘environmental document’’, and ‘‘pro-23
grammatic environmental document’’ have the mean-24
ings given such terms, respectively, in section 111 of
the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 (421
U.S.C. 4336e).

Local Concerns About Wildfire Management: Pioneer Fire

There are many interesting other things to post about, but we seem to be one of the few outlets trying to cover Wildfire With Benefits, so here goes. Thanks to Nick Smith, this story from Newsradio 560 KPQ.

The Pioneer Fire on Lake Chelan has ballooned to nearly 19,000 acres as of Monday morning. 

The fire has spread north along the shoreline and Level 1, Level 2 and Level 3 evacuation notices have extended northward, with the Stehekin Valley area now under Level 1. 

Chelan County Commissioner Tiffany Gering brought up the fire with fellow commissioners Monday morning during a public discussion. 

She said there’s frustration among area residents that crews are trying to keep the fire from spreading, rather than trying to put it out. 

“The comment that I constantly hear is they’re not trying to put the fire out,” said Gering. “That isn’t part of what the forest service does. From my understanding they used to. And now, that is a main concern of people is that it’s not happening.” 

According to the incident management team handling the fire, helicopter bucket drops were being used Sunday morning, but fire activity increased and multiple spot fires established further up drainage near Dan’s Camp trail. At that point, crews were forced to disengage and move to a safe location.  

The fire is now fully established on both sides of Fish Creek, which prompted the Chelan County Sheriff’s Office to issue the Level 1 evacuation advisory for the Stehekin area.  

There are currently 786 crew members assigned to the Pioneer Fire. It’s now burning 18,731 acres about 10 miles southeast of Stehekin. The fire is currently 14 percent contained. 

Pioneer Fire Evacuation Notices - Chelan Douglas Emergency Management
Pioneer Fire Evacuation Notices – Chelan Douglas Emergency Management

Keystone Agreements: Do You Have Questions?

Many TSW readers and others have contacted me and Dave Mertz with questions and concerns about the Keystone Agreements and what is going on with them.  Some questions we  will be able to piece together via our future FOIA (e.g. what are the indirect costs being charged?) and others not so much (what parts of the Forest Service are doing what kind of oversight?). Our current plan is to FOIA all the SPAs and annual reports from initiation of the agreements to the present.

Our philosophy is that 1) great and amazing work is probably being done, and

2) transparency and accountability are the hallmark of good government

3) with this much money going out, couldn’t someone be paid to round this up?

4) and finally, this is apparently about “building capacity” so that more work can be done.   Congress tends to shunt more $ into successful programs  (with community support that they hear about from their constituents), so if we want boatloads of bucks in the future for our stuff (don’t we? I think that’s what the post-Wildfire Commission resilience groups are working toward), the FS should communicate to everyone how well this is working.

Fortunately, Dave was told by the FS:

“Accomplishments are being tracked at a local, regional, and national level through our agency’s authoritative data sources. We are monitoring financial burn rates and programmatic outputs, among other things. Forest staff, program managers, and grants and agreements staff collectively provide oversight to ensure the successful implementation of the agreement with our partners.”

So it shouldn’t be hard to get these accomplishments via the national office.

Chris French wrote this piece in March of 2023:

“Keystone agreements, including agreements already executed and agreements under development, for BIL and IRA implementation include:

National Forest Foundation: Master stewardship agreement to aid in executing the wildfire crisis strategy
Mule Deer Foundation: Master stewardship agreement for habitat improvement and restoration while supporting the wildfire crisis strategy
National Wild Turkey Federation: Master stewardship agreement for habitat improvement and restoration while supporting the wildfire crisis strategy
National Fish and Wildlife Foundation: Participating agreement to support ecosystem restoration through the America the Beautiful Challenge
The Nature Conservancy: Existing participating agreement for various activities; new agreement for prescribed fire cooperative burning
Trout Unlimited: Participating agreement to support watershed restoration and resiliency
Student Conservation Association: Wildfire academy and prescribed fire workforce development program.”

And there is also American Forests, which is about reforestation.

Perhaps others have been added?

Do you have other questions? You can also email me (sharon at forestpolicypub.com)  or Dave Mertz (mertzdave1 at gmail) instead of making a comment below.

Zeke Lunder on the Shelly Fire and Carbon Credits

Zeke Lunder had an interesting series of tweets on the Shelly Fire about one of our favorite topics, carbon credits, dry forests, and dead trees.

I couldn’t help but think “don’t some groups effectively believe the same thing?” Leaving trees alone gives you most carbon benefits, assuming away the whole wildfire/dead tree problem in dry forests. Isn’t the concept the same? Not allowing tree cutting in overstocked dry forests does not actually help with carbon,  it can lead to more intense and destructive wildfire behavior, and impact the use of beneficial fire in neighboring forests.  The concept is “leaving trees alone is always good for carbon” and the mechanisms are federal MOG policy and the carbon credit markets.  It seems to me if the concept is wrong, it doesn’t matter what the mechanism is. Except, yes, more people make money via carbon credits, monitoring and accounting.

For example, from the Sierra Club:

BREAKING: Today, President Biden announced a plan to protect old-growth forests across the country
The Biden admin released a plan to protect old-growth forests. This is essential for achieving permanent protection, but we must do more.

Anyway, back to Zeke’s thread, I excerpted enough to give you a taste, but reading his whole thread is best.

*****************************

This looks good on paper. But promising to ‘further enhanc(e) conservation values and climate resilience for all who inhabit and visit this vast landscape’ while adopting a forest management strategy which aims to maximize the amount of carbon (fuel) on the site seems absurd. 5/xImage
Much of the landscape in the 40,000 acres recently placed into conservation easements here has not burned for 70 years or more, and as a result is covered with extremely over-stocked, sick forests. Yet carbon pirates like EFMI hawk them as ‘Undervalued Carbon Assets’. 6/xefmi.com/why-invest/

Conservation groups, carbon bankers, and industrial timberland owners all face an existential challenge: How can you maintain conifer forests in fire-prone landscapes without re-introducing mixed-severity fire at scale? (You can’t). Map shows fire history adjacent to EFM lands. 7/xImage
You can’t sell dry forests as a ‘tool to decarbonize infestment portfolios’ unless you are willing to do the work of making them fire resilient again. Any many of us who work in the woods are not sure this is even possible at this point. #YourCarbonIsGettingSmoked 8/x Image
The presence of overstocked private timberlands on the margins of the backcountry ends out being a huge obstacle to letting beneficial lightning fires burn out there. The impacts of the carbon nerds’ shenanigans extends well beyond the boundaries of their (stolen) lands. 9/x

************************

Under Fire: The Escalating Crises Of USFS Fire Policy In The West

Thanks to Dana Tibbitts for submitting this op-ed, printed in the Nevada Globe.

OPINION–Under Fire: The Escalating Crises Of USFS Fire Policy In The West

Apparently, insurance companies are more risk averse than federal fire fighting agencies

By Dana Tibbitts, July 12, 2024 11:17 am

Through the opening salvo of another red hot fire season, another cloud of calamity is rearing its ugly head: insurance companies running for the door, dropping policyholders like hot potatoes, doubling down on already skyrocketing insurance rates, and refusing new customer coverage plans like there’s no tomorrow.

For many of these providers, there is no tomorrow in the West. What kind of insurance company can operate in states staggering under rampant wildfire operations, where firefighting agencies have been given broad license to burn and destroy with impunity millions of acres of forest, rangelands, ranches, homes and properties?

“Consecutive years of wildfire losses and increasing number of acres burned across the state have challenged our view of risk and require us to implement adjustments to allow us to be viable in the market,” Travelers Insurance reported in a recent filing in California. “It is critical to the success of our business that we reduce our exposure to wildfire catastrophic losses.”

Not only are extreme wildfire risks unsustainable for insurance providers, but what about the rest of us trying to cope with catastrophic fire activity year after year, hazardous smoke and air quality conditions, evacuation, economic collapse, and failed insurance safeguards?

We’re about to find out.

State Farm has just delivered a brutal ultimatumAuthorize another massive round of rate increases or we’re out. This second round of on-demand rate hikes this year—30 percent for homeowner policies, 52 percent for renters, and 36 percent for condominium owners—has millions of shell-shocked residents in California and Nevada over a barrel and legislators running for cover.

Screenshot of news report on Caldor Fire (Photo: Flickr)

At a recent standing room only Town Hall in Incline Village, Nevada, a crowd of concerned citizens facing massive increases in HOA fees and coverage implosion were hopeful to hear what assurances Nevada Insurance Commissioner Scott Kipper might offer. His bottom line to concerned residents: Expect nothing before 2027.

Kipper also pointed out that Nevada law allows companies to not renew policies if the risks are too great. So this new “no policy–no mortgage” reality sets up a stalemate for residents suddenly confronted with no coverage or property marketing options. Nor are there concessions for homeowners following the rules for defensible space.

North Lake Tahoe Fire Chief Ryan Sommers was more optimistic, applauding citizens for coming together as a united front. “When we all stand together against insurance companies, public agencies and government officials, we will see results.”

We’re told that this is all because of climate change, as if repeating it often enough makes it true. It is not. Nor is the wildfire crisis rooted in “a hundred years of fire suppression” as pro-burn environmental groups and the fire lobby organizations like to claim. Instead, they pressure the USFS to increase the use of long running beneficial fire for greater forest resilience and a fire-adapted West—over and against the risk of ever more intense and devastating fires.

Apparently, insurance companies are more risk averse than federal fire fighting agencies.

Out of control fires are the new norm, not because of climate change, but because of signed agreements between USFS, state governors, and other public-private partnerships, given broad license to burn as the most efficient way to meet shared objectives.

These Memorandums of Understanding (MOUsdirect the Forest Service and their “partners” to burn or “treat” a million acres of forest landscape every year. The more they burn, the more they earn—claiming critical reimbursements from Congress for acres burned as well as acres “restored.” Same in Nevada where USFS’ Let burn policy allowed a small, slow, early fire to ultimately destroy 68,000 acres with fire crews on standby, 48,000 of which were claimed as “restored” for additional funds. Ask the fire victims of Tamarack how that restoration project is going.

What is more dangerous than fire allowed to burn for weeks and months on end without putting it out, all under the guise of “beneficial” fire? There is no managing a fire that has been allowed or enabled to grow to stage four.

USFS Fire Chief Randy Moore. (Photo: USFS)

USFS Chief Randy Moore’s disastrous fire aggressions and unauthorized activity to grow fires willy-nilly on public lands is a standing feature of his annual letter of intent. Considering the USFS incomprehensible failure to “first, put out the fire” and their infringement on constitutional due process, USFS modus operandi is a clear travesty against the people warranting public scrutiny at the very least, and legal action to reform bad policy at best.

Given present challenges, the National Wildfire Institute (NWI) has taken a strong stance against fighting fire with more fire.  The organization of mostly retired USFS leadership, which does not support managed burns, says such tactics are neither safe nor effective. The most effective way to deal with unplanned fire is this: First, put it out! 

“Our federally controlled lands are at an all-time disarray as a result of 40 years of dismal Forest Service leadership,” one NWI member explains. “As a result, we have a backlog of hazardous fuel conditions on public lands that have been neglected for three or four decades, and land management agencies don’t want to admit it or acknowledge that their tactics help create this debacle. If we don’t make major changes soon, the “let burn” and “managed fire” policy will convert our forests to highly flammable brush and weedy invasive species in a very short time. We must move quickly to bring sanity to this explosive scenario—”First, put out the FIRE!”

“The out-of-control USFS policy of growing fires to ‘restore fire to fire depleted ecosystems’ often results in firestorms and burned acres far beyond anything previously recorded in California and across the eleven Western States,” says Wildfire Pro’s chief forester Frank Carroll. “The tragic effects of these ongoing, intentional burn operations – month after month, year after year – result in far-reaching damage to our air quality, water and watershed environments, life-sustaining habitats, and wildlife. Government agencies setting intentional fires in our pristine forest lands is among the greatest tragedies and on-going threats of our time.”

Make no mistake – the West is under fire and insurance companies are in a state of collapse. However, the cornerstone of this twin crisis is the same: the USFS disastrous fire policy and practice in recent decades is terrorizing millions of Americans who are left to wonder—What ever happened to our most trusted institutions? And, why can’t they just put out the fire?

Dana Tibbitts began her career as a writer and media relations professional at UCLA and continued to work in higher education, media and the arts for much of the next 30 years. She has authored several books, including the highly acclaimed biography, Harnessing the Sky: Frederick “Trap” Trapnell, the U.S. Navy’s Aviation Pioneer, published by the Naval Institute Press. Dana and her husband have lived in Lake Tahoe for 13 years.

The Breakthrough Institute NEPA Litigation Report

The Breakthrough Institute posted an interesting report today- so shout-out to them for digging into the litigation question.  They are mostly interested in litigation and possibly permitting reform affects infrastructure projects, but, as usual, Forest Service vegetation projects continue to play a starring role in the NEPA litigation drama.  I’ll excerpt the main points they make about the FS.  Others are welcome to add their thoughts.

Breakthrough Institute analysts, in collaboration with legal experts at Holland & Knight, compiled and analyzed 387 NEPA cases brought to the U.S. appellate court system over the 2013-2022 period and categorized them by project type, environmental review, length of judicial review, federal agency, and plaintiff. Our results indicate that NEPA litigation overwhelmingly functions as a form of delay, as most cases take years before courts ultimately rule in favor of the defending federal agency.
As Congress deliberates reforms to NEPA, it is essential that policymakers recognize the degree to which the legal status quo prioritizes procedure over outcomes. To enable more effective environmental review, reforms should minimize the potential for extended, unproductive legal battles while still promoting the fair assessment of environmental impacts.

Here are their Key Findings:

Between 2013 and 2022, circuit courts heard approximately 39 NEPA appeals cases per year, a 56% increase over the rate from 2001 to 2015.2
• Agencies won about 80% of the 2013-2022 appeals cases, 11% more per year than from 2001 to 2004, 8% more than from 2001 to 2008, and 4% less than from 2009 to 2015.3 The rate at which agencies’ reviews are upheld is high, meaning these environmental reviews are seldom changed as a result of litigation.
• On average, 4.2 years elapsed between publication of an environmental impact statement or environmental assessment and conclusion of the corresponding legal challenge at the appellate level. Of these appealed cases, 84% were closed less than six years after the contested permit was published, and 39% were closed in less than three.
• Among the challenges, 42% contested environmental impact statements, and 36% contested environmental assessments. Agencies won about 80% of challenges to both.
• NGOs instigated 72% of the total challenges. Of those, just 10 organizations initiated 35% and had a success rate of just 26%, merely 6% higher than the average for all types of plaintiffs.
• Only 2.8% of NEPA litigations pertained to agency assessment of environmental justice issues.
• Public lands management projects were the most common subject of litigation (37%), the greatest share of which (47%) challenged forest management projects. Just 10 groups filed 67% of the challenges to forest management projects and collectively won only 23% of those cases, adding 3.7 years on average to the process of implementing the 77% of projects on cases they lost.
• Energy projects were the second most common subject of litigation (29%). Litigation delayed fossil fuel and clean energy project implementation by 3.9 years on average, despite the fact
that agencies won 71% of those challenges. NGOs filed 74% of energy cases, with just 10 organizations responsible for 48% of challenges.

We’re #1! We’re #!!

Forest management projects were the most common subject of litigation.
Despite public outcry over NEPA’s impact on clean energy deployment, energy projects don’t constitute the largest share of legal challenges in this dataset. Instead, the majority (37%) of total NEPA challenges contested public lands management projects. The U.S. Forest Service and Bureau of Land Management together manage the majority of
federally owned land in the United States, about 437 million acres.25 A NEPA review is required whenever these agencies perform management activities, like removing dead trees or building roads. This highlights a key distinction between the requirements NEPA imposes on public lands management agencies and those that focus on building infrastructure. Where NEPA acts as a mechanism to regulate private industry activity when permitting mines or wind farms, it also governs how land management agencies execute their core, legislatively mandated responsibilities. Thus, NEPA litigation poses a unique challenge for these agencies, allowing the public to contest the minutiae of their every decision.

In this dataset, forest management projects were most often the subject of appeals (Table 5), constituting 47% of land management cases and 17% of cases overall. Just 10 organizations filed 67% of these cases (Table 6), underscoring that NEPA litigation often originates from activism efforts advanced by a small number of NGOs. Collectively, this group of organizations won only 23% of their cases, while adding about 3.7 years on average to the process of implementing projects on cases they lost.

I don’t think that any TSW-ites will be surprised by this.  As I recall, when the GAO report came out about appeals and litigation, Region 1 was the outlier in terms of having the most litigation.  I posted about that here in 2010.  My hypothesis was that more lawsuits was due to the presence of more regional litigatorily-inclined NGOs. This seems to continue to be the case. After all, it’s not the Alliance for the Wild Sierras nor Shenandoahs.

 

Here is Breakthrough’s  broader look at litigants for all projects.

And finally, for energy, this is what it looks like:

So take a look if you’re interested and put your thoughts in the comments here.

Dan Farber on Loper Bright and Grandmothering

I think there was a lot of concern about the “foundational regulatory structure” being overturned by the Loper decision, perhaps by reporters who didn’t have time to digest it, or people who simply want to generate fear and clicks.  The media push might not even be so much about the decision itself, as fitting the decision into the current political “bad Supreme Court” narrative.

So I’ve been curious to back up and see what legal minds, after some reflection and careful thought, have to say about the “grandmothering” of decisions I mentioned yesterday.  Fortunately, Dan Farber of the UC Berkeley Law School addressed this directly in a Legal Planet blog post. 

Remember, new regulations are relatively few in Forest Service world.  The OG effort is a national plan amendment, and the NWFP is a regional plan amendment.  Perhaps there are more regulations in BLM world, most notably the recent Public Lands Rule.

Farber also has a post specifically on “Is the sky falling?”

But unlike many commentators, I don’t think the sky is falling. I was teaching environmental law before Chevron was decided, and I can testify that agencies like EPA were able to succeed in that setting.

It is interesting to consider what having old people around who remember the past adds to the discussion.

Anyway, back to the details of grandmothering.

To cushion the shock of abandoning Chevron, the Supreme Court created a safe harbor for past judicial decisions. This was well-advised. The Court itself applied Chevron at least seventy time, as did thousands of lower court decisions. The key question will be the scope of the grandfather clause.

The Court’s discussion began by saying that “we do not call into question prior cases that relied on the Chevron framework.”  Thus, “the holdings of those cases that specific agency actions are lawful—in­cluding the Clean Air Act holding of Chevron itself—are still subject to statutory stare decisis [Latin for standing by past decisions] despite our change interpretive methodology.” “This means that “mere reliance on Chevron cannot constitute a ‘special justification’ for overruling such a holding, because to say a precedent relied on Chevron is, at best, ‘just an argument that the precedent was wrongly decided.’”  And “That is not enough to justify overruling a statutory precedent.”

It seems clear that the specific regulation upheld by an earlier decision is protected by that previous decision.  Thus, the idea that overruling Chevron makes it open season on existing regulations is an exaggeration, because many of those regulations are protected by binding precedent.  The next question is the scope of the protection given an agency. The Court begins by referring to specific regulations but then talks more broadly about statutory stare decisis (precedent).

It’s significant that the Court referred to statutory stare decisis, because the general rule is that cases interpreting statutes are especially difficult to overrule.  Unlike a constitutional decision, a case interpreting a statute can be reversed by Congress passing a new law.  Therefore, error correction by the courts is less needed for statutory precedents. That means that overruling cases from the Chevron era will be very difficult.

What happens if a regulation that was upheld under Chevron is later amended? If the features of the regulation that were challenged in the earlier case remain unchanged, that should mean that the validity of those features is still binding law.  Presumably, the same should be true even if the agency repeals the earlier regulation and replaces it with a new regulation that retains those features. The innovations in the new regulation might be subject to attack, but stare decisis (respect for precedent) should protect the features inherited from the earlier regulation.

For example, EPA issued an interstate pollution rule that was based on an earlier Supreme Court decision called EME Homer.   Less than a week before Loper, the Court stayed that decision for other reasons, but nowhere in that opinion was there a hint that EME Homer was in any way in doubt.

There has been talk about a surge of litigation challenging regulations that were upheld under Chevron.  The Court seems to have been trying to shut the door to such challenges. Doing otherwise would have introduced chaos into many areas of regulation, with a devastating effect on everyone who had relied on those decisions – investors, agency officials, states, and Congress itself. No doubt there will be a few lawless judges – probably in the Fifth Circuit – who will ignore the Court’s directives. They will deserve summary reversal by the Supreme Court.

I don’t know what things the Fifth Circuit has done to irritate Farber. There are several National Forests, but not that much FS litigation that I recall.