USFS SCIENCEx ASSESSMENTS WEEK

A raft of webinars…. Something for everyone on Smokey Wire….

SCIENCEx ASSESSMENTS WEEK, MAR. 27 – 31, 2023

2:00 to 3:00 p.m. ESTE

The Forest Service Research and Development SCIENCEx webinar series unites scientists and land management experts from across the US Forest Service and beyond.

SCIENCEx Assessments week will explore the data, tools, and approaches helping land managers with forest planning efforts — whether on National Forest System lands or state, Tribal, or privately-owned forestlands.

For more on the SCIENCEx webinar series or to view the archives, visit the SCIENCEx webinar page.

Monday, Mar. 27

Science for Forest Planning

  • Information Resources for Forest Planning | Jim Lootens-White
  • Streams, Springs, and Fens! Riparian and Groundwater-dependent Ecosystem Assessments for Forest Plan Revision​ | Katelyn Driscoll
  • Broadening Perspectives on Inclusive Forest Planning​ | Kristen Floress

Tuesday, Mar. 28

Research to Inform Recreation Management and Activities

  • Designing with the Americans with Disabilities Act in Mind |​ Robert Ross
  • Towards an Understanding of the Drivers and Effects of Recreation Displacement in Southern California National Forests |​ Alyssa Thomas

Wednesday, Mar. 29

Research to Inform Silviculture and Management Activities

  • Silviculture Research in Hardwoods and Mixedwoods: Still Providing the ‘How’ | Callie Schweitzer
  • Long-term Silvicultural Research Provides New Insights for Science-based Management| Mike Battaglia
  • Silvicultural Rehabilitation of Degraded Stands: Practical Ideas from Research in Northeastern Forests |​ Laura Kenefic

Thursday, Mar. 30

Ecosystem Services, Risks, and Benefits

  • Ecosystem Service Benefits of Wilderness: Changes over Time |​ Thomas Holmes
  • Deploying Nature’s Benefits for Conservation Finance in the Tahoe Basin |​ Matthew Sloggy
  • An Ounce of Prevention: Effects of Leaf Litter on Wood Decking Exposed Above Ground |​ Grant Kirker

Friday, Mar. 31

Forest Inventory and Analysis in Forest Management

  • Forest Inventory and Analysis in the Pacific Islands |​ Jonathan Marshall
  • Using Advanced Remote Sensing to Support Forest Inventory and Monitoring in Interior Alaska |​ Hans Andersen
  • Urban Forest Inventory and Analysis Data and Tools |​ Tonya Lister

A 30-MPH Ebike

At the risk of stirring up another debate over Ebikes on the woods, I saw an ad for this Ubco 2×2 Electric Bike. AWD, 30 mph top speed, 75-mille range, no pedals. This is more of a motorcycle than a bike — the company calls it both an Ebike and a motorbike, which it is. “Whether you’re cruising up the Rocky Mountains or down into red rock canyons, you’ll never forget what you see from the seat of your electric motorbike.”

I have NO problem with such bikes on roads and trails where motorized vehicles are allowed. But they do not belong on other trails. Conflicts ahead as such Ebikes become faster and more powerful?

A Whole New Perspective on Boulders!

One of the Toiyabe National Forest’s larger fires of my fire prevention guard era was ignited by a discarded cigarette around noon on June 27, 1966. This blaze, on the Carson Ranger District about a dozen miles south of Reno, quickly blew up and crossed the Nevada state highway which led to the Slide Mountain Ski Area and Lake Tahoe. All traffic on this busy road was stopped. Significant resources—residences, a ski area, a beautifully-timbered watershed—were threatened.

A new Forest Service tractor-lowboy rig, transporting a bulldozer for fireline construction, was trapped on the highway by the fire it was to help control. The truck driver and cat skinner escaped, but the rig and cat were destroyed. The Toiyabe had a real project fire on its hands.

Fire Boss Blaine Cornell sized up the situation. A spot weather forecast called for strong down-canyon winds and low humidity through the afternoon. He planned to stop the fire’s rapid eastward spread toward homes and ranches first, then control its mountainous northern and western flanks. Manpower and equipment were ordered for a four-sector fire, and that’s where I came in.

When the forest supervisor’s office requested two qualified crew bosses for the night shift from the Bridgeport Ranger District, range conservationist Ken Genz and I were dispatched to the fire. It was dark by the time we first saw the fire—a hellish orange glow along a two-mile front atop a ridge off to the West—from the Washoe Valley. The Galena Creek Fire would be the biggest I had ever fought. We turned off U.S. 395 and made our way to the fire camp.

Ken and I arrived just in time for night shift assignments and too late to eat. We gulped black coffee during a quick briefing around a map board. By then, the fire’s eastward run had been stopped by a backfire. The night shift would build a three-mile line around its northern and western flanks. Two line locators were needed, and we were them. Our job was to lead cats up both flanks to head the fire off during the cool night hours. Crews with hand tools would follow our cats at a safe distance, improving the lines that would link up along the top of the ridge and corral the fire by morning. Except for the cats Ken and I would be leading, we’d be on our own.

After the usual delays inherent in working with heavy equipment, I was leading my cat up the fire’s northern flank.

The night was dark, but the fire on my left provided so much light I didn’t need the headlamp on my hardhat. Trees continued to torch but, as expected, the fire was now advancing more slowly. I soon had the hang of nighttime line locating, and worked the cat as close to the fire as I could while avoiding heavy timber that would slow it down. I put all I knew—and all the cat skinner knew—about firefighting into the job, and we made steady progress along the fire’s flank as the night wore on.

As far as I know, I made only one mistake that night. But it was a big one, and I came close to paying dearly for violating a cardinal rule. Carelessly allowing myself to get downslope of the cat, I suddenly gained a whole new perspective on boulders. I survived.

Just after dawn, Ken and I tied our cat lines together. If not yet controlled, the Galena Creek Fire was contained. The sector boss arrived as I enjoyed the views of Lake Tahoe and Washoe Lake. Fresh crews were on their way up the mountain to relieve the night shift, and we were to return to the fire camp. Food and rest at last! Well, almost. First we had to get there.

Wanting to see the rest of the fire, I opted to walk off the mountain along Ken’s cat line. The effects of the fire’s rapid and erratic spread were obvious. While most of the area inside the line was blackened, some small islands of timber had been bypassed and were as green as ever. By the time I hit the state highway, which I would follow for about three miles to the fire camp, the sun had chased the chill from the morning air. I met fresh crews on their way to the western flank.

After a while, I came upon the remains of the trapped tractor-lowboy and cat rig. A nice new outfit only a day before, it was all blistered metal and burned rubber. I walked on through yesterday’s cool, green forest—now a charred and smoldering wasteland.

About that time, at ten o’clock in the morning, the Galena Creek Fire was declared controlled at just over 1,200 acres. Two homes had burned.

After night shift assignments, during which the previous night’s initial attack line locater was that night’s mop-up squad boss, Ken and I were released and returned to Bridgeport.

 

Adapted from the 2018 third edition of Toiyabe Patrol, the writers memoir of five U.S. Forest Service summers on the Toiyabe National Forest in the 1960s.

Inciweb Wildfire History Lost?

I’ve studied and written about US wildfires for many years. InciWeb, the US government wildfire information system, is a great resource for current fires, but not past fires. Until a few years ago, information about fires over the years was available by searching the site — very helpful for researching past fires. That archive is no longer available, at least not via InciWeb — oly current or very recent fires are listed. I’ve been looking into the 2020 Riverside Fires in Oregon, specifically trying to find out if the cause was determined to be arcing or downed power lines. Can’t seem to find that information anywhere. Only speculation.

Anyone know if that InciWeb archive, or something like it, is available online?

And does anyone know about the Riverside fire? Google tells me that the fire was deemed caused by human activity, but whether or not it was down power lines is unclear. Odd. I’d expect that this information would be easily available.

Andrus Center “Re-Creating Public Land Recreation” Conference April 18- in Person and Virtual- TSW Reporting Opportunity

This sounds really interesting but I have a conflict. Please contact me if you would like to attend and report on it for TSW, TSW will pay registration. Even if you go in person :).
Here’s the link to register.

On Tuesday, April 18th, the Andrus Center will host an in person environmental conference focused on recreation and public lands with an eye towards resolving tensions and furthering best practices. Public lands act as anchoring institutions for surrounding communities. This conference, Re-creating Public Land Recreation, will celebrate the popularity of outdoor recreation on public lands and convene a dialogue over how to improve policies and funding, and collaborating across shared recreation spaces.

The conference is scheduled as a 7:30 am to 5 pm in person event and will be followed by a white paper. Due to the capacity of the venue, a virtual attendance option will be available.

Conference speakers will represent Federal and Tribal land managers, State and Local governments, and NGO and business leaders with expertise in recreation. Panel discussions will center on three themes:

Collaboration, especially working across jurisdictional proximities;
Funding, especially to overcome infrastructure and operational shortfalls;
Policy, especially shortfalls of current laws and policies.

Director of the Bureau of Land Management, Tracy-Stone Manning will deliver the lunch keynote address and will discuss ideas about what we can do together–with industry, partners, and land management agencies–to meet the challenges ahead. Former Montana Governor and Chair of the Foundation for America’s Public Lands (the charitable partner of the Bureau of Land Management, the new BLM foundation), Steve Bullock will address the emerging role of foundations and philanthropy to fill gaps and catalyze action. The remaining speaker lineup will be posted soon!

Registration for the full-day in person event is $85 and discounted student tickets are available thanks to the generosity of sponsors. There will also be registration for online viewing of the event for $20.

If you’re interested in representing us and reporting, please contact me.

DOE and BLM: Seemingly Contradictory Energy Strategy

Secretary Granholm at CeraWeek .Bloomberg photo.

Right hand-left hand. Interior vs. Energy.. with the White House as referee or ????

I’d like to start with Secretary Granholm’s statement at CERA week. From an article at E&E News..Energywire (open access).

The Biden administration’s seemingly contradictory energy and climate strategy was on full display here Wednesday: Try to pivot away from fossil fuels, but promote them for now.

Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm faced that paradox as she addressed energy leaders and insiders gathered in a hotel ballroom, praising the uptick in U.S. oil and gas exports during Russia’s war in Ukraine while touting a clean energy shift.

“Europe is poised to reach the spring without major outages or shortages, and that’s thanks in no small part to many in this room, who have been producing and exporting and working with the U.S. and with allies,” Granholm said.

“Indeed, the U.S. has become in this year an indispensable energy partner to our allies and a global energy powerhouse,” she said to applause.

**************

Meanwhile, in another blow to the fossil fuel sector, the Biden administration said this week that a new five-year plan for offshore oil and gas drilling may be delayed until December (Greenwire, March 8).

To “complete all necessary analyses, approvals, and mandatory procedural steps, Interior requires until December 2023 to finish and approve the next Program,” said Walter Cruickshank, deputy director of the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, in a legal filing.

That prompted a sharp rebuke from Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.), a key architect of the Inflation Reduction Act and a fossil fuel ally.

“The Department of the Interior made it painfully clear — again — that they are putting their radical climate agenda ahead of our nation’s energy security, and they are willing to go to great lengths to do it,” Manchin said in a statement Wednesday, saying the December deadline is “18 months late.”

*************

Despite Granholm’s comments commending the fossil fuel sector, she used much of her speech to champion a clean energy transition.

Granholm announced $6 billion in new grants for industrial decarbonization projects, which may involve carbon capture and hydrogen. And she urged the fossil fuel sector to help develop those and other technologies.

“The U.S. is the indispensable nation, and our companies are producing irresistible products. And this administration is all in on it,” Granholm said. “We need the energy sector stepping up and that certainly includes the oil and gas industry.”

“You have the skill sets and knowledge to build some of these critical technologies at scale,” she said.

There’s also a story at Bloomberg that looks interesting but is paywalled:
Energy Secretary Granholm Changes the Tune on Big Oil
Just five months ago, President Biden was accusing the oil industry of profiteering. Yesterday, his energy secretary went to Houston to shower executives with praise.

You’d almost think there are three loci of control… the pragmatic DOE, the ideological DOI and the White House trying to placate key Demo interest groups without going to far into doing things that won’t look good for the 2024 election. The oil and gas industry.. demonized by some, and flagellated to produce more by others in the same Admin. If I were a political science professor, I would find this fascinating. What causes agency divergence? Career feds, or loyalties of politicals to the interest groups they came from? When are divergences tolerated, and when are they expunged?

Pielke Jr.: Three rules for making sense of “event attribution” studies.

Roger Pielke Jr. has a blog post of interest: “How to be a smart consumer of climate attribution claims:
Three rules for making sense of “event attribution” studies.” I read this with an eye toward attributing megafires to climate change.

Excerpt:

Recent years have seen a proliferation of single “event attribution” claims that are quickly churned out in the aftermath of notable extreme weather events. These analyses typically lead with strong claims of a connection between climate change and the event that just happened.

Last month I explained a bit about such claims:

Single-event attribution uses climate models to calculate the odds that a particular extreme event was made more likely as a direct and attributable consequence of human-caused climate change. Such studies generally look at two scenarios, one a counterfactual based on no increase in greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere and the other with observed increased concentrations. Then, models run under the two different scenarios are compared to see if the probability of extreme events similar to the one in question became more likely in the model runs with more greenhouse gases.

Today, I offer three rules for accepting such claims from a scientific perspective consistent with the work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Event attribution claims are worth scrutiny because their underlying methodology was developed explicitly to support climate lawsuits, promote climate advocacy and attract media attention. You can read more about the politics of such claims here. [emphasis added]

It is troubling that I feel like I have to say this out loud — We should not allow the political significance of a topic to overshadow scientific rigor.

A Wilderness Patrol on Horseback

“Most of my few horseback patrols went well.”

I spent a few days each summer in the Hoover Wilderness where increasing back-country travel was increasing the risk of human-caused fires. Most of my wilderness patrols were on foot, but on rare occasions I rode a horse. In 1965, for example, I rode the rugged and scenic Green Creek drainage on a mountain-wise black mare named Coaly, talking with occasional wilderness travelers as I passed Green Lake, Nutter Lake, Gilman Lake, and the Hoover Lakes en route Summit Lake on the Toiyabe National Forest-Yosemite National Park border.

Most of my few horseback patrols went well, but I darn near wound up finishing one of them on foot.

That was the time Fire Control Officer Marion Hysell and I rode up to a little lake above Barney Lake and below Hunewill Peak to rebuild rock fireplaces and erect a sign. After finishing the work and eating lunch, we began the return trip on the two big black horses hired from the Mono Village pack station for the day’s work. About half way down to the junction with the Barney Lake trail, Marion and I met a group of hikers. They were bound for the little lake we had just left, and we dismounted to talk with them. About what, I can’t remember. What I can remember is my mount suddenly deciding to quit the country. He reared, yanked the loosely-held reins from my hands, and launched himself down the trail toward the pack station more than four miles away.

“Now you’re a hiker, too!” one of the hikers observed with thinly veiled satisfaction.

Instead of explaining my preference for shank’s mare, I excused myself with something like “Darned if I’ll walk back to Mono Village!” and lit out after the horse.

“He’ll never catch it,” one of the hikers predicted.

But there was a chance. I recalled the series of switchbacks in the trail up this steep slope, and hoped they’d work in my favor. I plunged off the trail and downslope over boulders and through thickets to head off the fugitive mount.

The first time I tumbled back onto the trail I was just too late. Down the trail to my right, the horse was hightailing into the next switchback. Back into the woods I plunged, again careering downhill as aspen branches slapped my face and mountain mahogany slowed my progress.

Within moments I was back on the trail, and this time ahead of the game. Off to my right, the horse had just turned out of the switchback and was thundering toward me, eyes wild and ears back in what looked a lot like determination. I was determined, too, and as the big black tried to evade me I grabbed its reins just below the bit, yanked down hard, and wrestled it to a kicking, snorting, dusty stop. Its reigns tight in my grasp, the horse followed me back up the trail. Would catching this runaway redeem me in Marion’s eyes? In the eyes of the hikers?

By the time I had led the recaptured mount back up the trail, to where Marion and the hikers were waiting to see if I would walk or ride home, I had managed to brush off dust and leaves and tuck in my shirt. I had also reviewed and rejected every alibi east of the Sierra. The truth of what had happened was obvious. Marion grinned. He seemed satisfied at the fact I had caught the horse. The hikers seemed impressed by the same fact.

Wishing the hikers well, we mounted up to resume our ride back to the pack station.

 

Adapted from the 2018 third edition of Toiyabe Patrol, the writer’s memoir of five U.S. Forest Service summers on the Toiyabe National Forest in the 1960s.

Radio Interview: “Southwest Oregon forest management plan draws backlash”

Here’s a 15-minute interview by Oregon Public Broadcasting (well, two separate interviews), about a planned BLM timber sale in southern Oregon. Intro text:

The Bureau of Land Management recently approved a controversial forest management project in southwestern Oregon. The plan, called the “Late Mungers” project, includes roughly 7,500 acres of prescribed burning and tree thinning, as well as 830 acres of logging. It’s one of the first projects approved under the BLM’s Integrated Vegetation Management plan, which the agency says will allow it to increase the “scope, scale and pace” of its wildfire prevention efforts.

But as Jefferson Public Radio has reported, the plan has faced significant backlash from environmental groups in the region. They argue that the accelerated project timeline cuts out opportunities for public comment, and that the timber sales included in the project will actually increase fire risks and endanger wildlife.

For more details about the plan, we’re joined by BLM Medford District Manager Elizabeth Burghard and Luke Ruediger, conservation director for the Klamath Forest Alliance and executive director of the Applegate-Siskiyou Alliance.

It would have been interesting to have two two folks on at the same time, for rebuttal and clarification. For example, I suspect that some “large” trees are being removed from near much larger trees. Regardless of the diameter of the trees to be cut, this may well be warranted — see our recent discussion of the “eaetside screens.”

FWIW, here’s BLM’s project FAQ.

Law and Moomaw: Protect mature US forests to slow climate change

From The Conversation: “The Biden administration has called for protecting mature US forests to slow climate change, but it’s still allowing them to be logged.” By by Beverly Law and William Moomaw. Much to critique here. Many links. For example:

“Some studies indicate that thinning forests by harvesting some trees and reintroducing low-intensity fires can reduce the intensity of future wildfires, leaving more carbon stored in trees. But these studies don’t account for the large amount of carbon that is released to the atmosphere after trees are cut.”

Law’s work has been discussed numerous times on Smokey Wire, such as here, in looking at a paper by Law et al, “Carbon sequestration and biodiversity co-benefits of preserving forests in the western USA.”

Moomaw is a proponent of “proforestation.”